UNITED STATES
Form 10-Q
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(Mark One)
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||
|
þ
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QUARTERLY REPORT UNDER SECTION 13 OR
15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
|
| For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2004 | ||
| or | ||
|
o
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13
OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
|
| For the transition period from to | ||
Commission File Number 1-8787
American International Group, Inc.
|
Delaware
|
13-2592361 | |
|
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
|
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70 Pine Street, New York, New York (Address of principal executive offices) |
10270 (Zip Code) |
|
Registrants telephone number, including area code: (212) 770-7000
Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report: None
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ü No
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ü No
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuers classes of common stock, as of September 30, 2004: 2,604,570,819.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
(in millions) (unaudited)
| September 30, | December 31, | ||||||||||
| 2004 | 2003 | ||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||
| Investments, financial services assets and cash: | |||||||||||
| Fixed maturities: | |||||||||||
|
Bonds available for sale, at market value
(amortized cost: 2004 $317,392; 2003
$288,160)
|
$ | 330,735 | $ | 300,935 | |||||||
|
Bonds held to maturity, at amortized cost (market
value: 2004 $15,790; 2003 $8,173)
|
15,415 | 8,037 | |||||||||
|
Bond trading securities, at market value
(cost: 2004 $2,379; 2003 $252)
|
2,399 | 282 | |||||||||
| Equity securities: | |||||||||||
|
Common stocks, at market value
(cost: 2004 $13,348; 2003 $6,884)
|
14,235 | 7,678 | |||||||||
|
Preferred stocks, at market value
(cost: 2004 $1,879; 2003 $1,743)
|
1,915 | 1,906 | |||||||||
|
Mortgage loans on real estate, net of allowance
(2004 $106; 2003 $101)
|
12,833 | 12,295 | |||||||||
|
Policy loans
|
6,784 | 6,658 | |||||||||
|
Collateral and guaranteed loans, net of allowance
(2004 $17; 2003 $15)
|
2,293 | 2,296 | |||||||||
| Financial services assets: | |||||||||||
|
Flight equipment primarily under operating
leases, net of accumulated depreciation (2004
$6,104; 2003 $5,458)
|
32,180 | 30,343 | |||||||||
|
Securities available for sale, at market value
(cost: 2004 $19,622; 2003 $15,732)
|
19,630 | 15,714 | |||||||||
|
Trading securities, at market value
|
3,551 | 3,300 | |||||||||
|
Spot commodities, at market value
|
133 | 250 | |||||||||
|
Unrealized gain on interest rate and currency
swaps, options and forward transactions
|
20,793 | 21,599 | |||||||||
|
Trading assets
|
2,360 | 2,548 | |||||||||
|
Securities purchased under agreements to resell,
at contract value
|
38,354 | 28,170 | |||||||||
|
Finance receivables, net of allowance
(2004 $462; 2003 $453)
|
21,531 | 17,609 | |||||||||
| Securities lending collateral, at cost (approximates market value) | 53,803 | 30,195 | |||||||||
| Other invested assets | 21,524 | 16,787 | |||||||||
| Short-term investments, at cost (approximates market value) | 14,672 | 8,914 | |||||||||
| Cash | 2,072 | 922 | |||||||||
| Total investments, financial services assets and cash | 617,212 | 516,438 | |||||||||
| Investment income due and accrued | 5,886 | 4,959 | |||||||||
|
Premiums and insurance balances receivable, net
of allowance (2004 $278; 2003 $235)
|
16,934 | 14,166 | |||||||||
| Reinsurance assets | 26,730 | 27,962 | |||||||||
| Deferred policy acquisition costs | 28,656 | 26,398 | |||||||||
| Investments in partially owned companies | 1,359 | 1,428 | |||||||||
|
Real estate and other fixed assets, net of
accumulated depreciation (2004 $4,599;
2003 $4,247)
|
5,999 | 6,006 | |||||||||
| Separate and variable accounts | 52,664 | 60,536 | |||||||||
| Goodwill | 8,407 | 7,633 | |||||||||
| Other assets | 12,573 | 12,820 | |||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 776,420 | $ | 678,346 | |||||||
1
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET (continued)
(in millions, except share amounts) (unaudited)
| September 30, | December 31, | |||||||||
| 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
||||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses
|
$ | 62,150 | $ | 56,118 | ||||||
|
Reserve for unearned premiums
|
23,275 | 20,762 | ||||||||
|
Future policy benefits for life and accident and
health insurance contracts
|
98,105 | 92,970 | ||||||||
|
Policyholders contract deposits
|
208,497 | 171,989 | ||||||||
|
Other policyholders funds
|
9,704 | 9,100 | ||||||||
|
Reserve for commissions, expenses and taxes
|
4,584 | 4,487 | ||||||||
|
Insurance balances payable
|
3,422 | 2,592 | ||||||||
|
Funds held by companies under reinsurance treaties
|
5,522 | 4,664 | ||||||||
|
Income taxes payable:
|
||||||||||
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Current
|
2,709 | 1,977 | ||||||||
|
Deferred
|
6,564 | 5,778 | ||||||||
|
Financial services liabilities:
|
||||||||||
|
Borrowings under obligations of guaranteed
investment agreements
|
18,461 | 15,337 | ||||||||
|
Securities sold under agreements to repurchase,
at contract value
|
19,473 | 14,810 | ||||||||
|
Trading liabilities
|
2,651 | 6,153 | ||||||||
|
Securities and spot commodities sold but not yet
purchased, at market value
|
4,895 | 5,458 | ||||||||
|
Unrealized loss on interest rate and currency
swaps, options and forward transactions
|
18,724 | 15,268 | ||||||||
|
Trust deposits and deposits due to banks and
other depositors
|
3,610 | 3,491 | ||||||||
|
Commercial paper
|
6,059 | 4,715 | ||||||||
|
Notes, bonds, loans and mortgages payable
|
56,925 | 50,138 | ||||||||
|
Commercial paper
|
3,165 | 1,223 | ||||||||
|
Notes, bonds, loans and mortgages payable
|
5,599 | 5,865 | ||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies subject to mandatory redemption
|
1,488 | 1,682 | ||||||||
|
Separate and variable accounts
|
52,664 | 60,536 | ||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
4,159 | 3,311 | ||||||||
|
Securities lending payable
|
53,803 | 30,195 | ||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
21,116 | 18,282 | ||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
697,324 | 606,901 | ||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in
subsidiary companies
|
193 | 192 | ||||||||
|
Shareholders equity:
|
||||||||||
|
Common stock, $2.50 par value;
5,000,000,000 shares authorized; shares issued
2004 2,751,327,476; 2003 2,751,327,476
|
6,878 | 6,878 | ||||||||
|
Additional paid-in capital
|
575 | 568 | ||||||||
|
Retained earnings
|
68,456 | 60,960 | ||||||||
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income
|
4,700 | 4,244 | ||||||||
|
Treasury stock, at cost; 2004
146,756,657; 2003 142,880,430 shares of common
stock
|
(1,706 | ) | (1,397 | ) | ||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
78,903 | 71,253 | ||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred
shareholders equity in subsidiary companies and
shareholders equity
|
$ | 776,420 | $ | 678,346 | ||||||
2
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF INCOME
(in millions, except per share amounts) (unaudited)
| Nine Months | Three Months | |||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | |||||||||||||||||
| September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||||||
| 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||||
|
Revenues:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Premiums and other considerations
|
$ | 50,150 | $ | 40,316 | $ | 17,690 | $ | 13,869 | ||||||||||
|
Net investment income
|
14,084 | 12,203 | 4,708 | 4,088 | ||||||||||||||
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
(72 | ) | (1,348 | ) | (12 | ) | (359 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Other revenues
|
8,695 | 7,953 | 3,025 | 2,708 | ||||||||||||||
|
Total revenues
|
72,857 | 59,124 | 25,411 | 20,306 | ||||||||||||||
|
Benefits and expenses:
|
||||||||||||||||||
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Incurred policy losses and benefits
|
42,709 | 33,989 | 15,434 | 11,523 | ||||||||||||||
|
Insurance acquisition and other operating expenses
|
17,510 | 15,277 | 6,019 | 5,279 | ||||||||||||||
|
Total benefits and expenses
|
60,219 | 49,266 | 21,453 | 16,802 | ||||||||||||||
|
Income before income taxes, minority interest
and cumulative effect of an accounting change
|
12,638 | 9,858 | 3,958 | 3,504 | ||||||||||||||
|
Income taxes:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Current
|
3,207 | 2,384 | 607 | 873 | ||||||||||||||
|
Deferred
|
830 | 621 | 673 | 196 | ||||||||||||||
| 4,037 | 3,005 | 1,280 | 1,069 | |||||||||||||||
|
Income before minority interest and cumulative
effect of an accounting change
|
8,601 | 6,853 | 2,678 | 2,435 | ||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
(390 | ) | (286 | ) | (166 | ) | (98 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an
accounting change
|
8,211 | 6,567 | 2,512 | 2,337 | ||||||||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net
of tax
|
(181 | ) | | | | |||||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 8,030 | $ | 6,567 | $ | 2,512 | $ | 2,337 | ||||||||||
|
Earnings per common share:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Basic
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 3.15 | $ | 2.52 | $ | 0.97 | $ | 0.90 | ||||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
(0.07 | ) | | | | |||||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 3.08 | $ | 2.52 | $ | 0.97 | $ | 0.90 | ||||||||||
|
Diluted
|
||||||||||||||||||
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Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 3.12 | $ | 2.50 | $ | 0.95 | $ | 0.89 | ||||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
(0.07 | ) | | | | |||||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 3.05 | $ | 2.50 | $ | 0.95 | $ | 0.89 | ||||||||||
|
Cash dividends per common share
|
$ | 0.205 | $ | 0.159 | $ | 0.075 | $ | 0.065 | ||||||||||
|
Average shares outstanding:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Basic
|
2,608 | 2,610 | 2,606 | 2,610 | ||||||||||||||
|
Diluted
|
2,630 | 2,628 | 2,628 | 2,628 | ||||||||||||||
3
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS
(in millions) (unaudited)
| Nine Months Ended September 30, | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||
|
Summary:
|
|||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating
activities
|
$ | 20,432 | $ | 20,557 | |||||||
|
Net cash used in investing
activities
|
(54,578 | ) | (40,086 | ) | |||||||
|
Net cash provided by financing
activities
|
35,295 | 19,289 | |||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation
adjustments
|
1 | 24 | |||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
1,150 | (216 | ) | ||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
922 | 1,165 | |||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 2,072 | $ | 949 | |||||||
|
Cash flows from operating
activities:
|
|||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 8,030 | $ | 6,567 | |||||||
|
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net
cash provided by operating activities:
|
|||||||||||
|
Noncash revenues, expenses, gains and losses
included in income:
|
|||||||||||
|
Change in:
|
|||||||||||
|
General and life insurance reserves
|
16,288 | 16,843 | |||||||||
|
Premiums and insurance balances receivable and
payable net
|
(1,939 | ) | (1,795 | ) | |||||||
|
Reinsurance assets
|
1,232 | (2,962 | ) | ||||||||
|
Deferred policy acquisition costs
|
(2,366 | ) | (2,128 | ) | |||||||
|
Investment income due and accrued
|
(880 | ) | (546 | ) | |||||||
|
Funds held under reinsurance treaties
|
858 | 792 | |||||||||
|
Other policyholders funds
|
604 | 380 | |||||||||
|
Current and deferred income taxes net
|
1,562 | 1,513 | |||||||||
|
Reserve for commissions, expenses and taxes
|
96 | 132 | |||||||||
|
Other assets and liabilities net
|
1,417 | (472 | ) | ||||||||
|
Trading assets and liabilities net
|
(3,314 | ) | 959 | ||||||||
|
Trading securities, at market value
|
(251 | ) | 877 | ||||||||
|
Spot commodities, at market value
|
117 | 165 | |||||||||
|
Net unrealized (gain) loss on interest rate and
currency swaps, options and forward transactions
|
4,262 | (147 | ) | ||||||||
|
Securities purchased under agreements to resell
|
(10,184 | ) | 2,310 | ||||||||
|
Securities sold under agreements to repurchase
|
4,663 | 2,050 | |||||||||
|
Securities and spot commodities sold but not yet
purchased, at market value
|
(563 | ) | (6,524 | ) | |||||||
|
Realized capital (gains) losses
|
72 | 1,348 | |||||||||
|
Equity in income of partially owned companies and
other invested assets
|
(935 | ) | (389 | ) | |||||||
|
Amortization of premium and discount on securities
|
231 | (59 | ) | ||||||||
|
Depreciation expenses, principally flight
equipment
|
1,514 | 1,386 | |||||||||
|
Provision for finance receivable losses
|
282 | 312 | |||||||||
|
Other net
|
(364 | ) | (55 | ) | |||||||
|
Total adjustments
|
12,402 | 13,990 | |||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating
activities
|
$ | 20,432 | $ | 20,557 | |||||||
4
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS (Continued)
(in millions) (unaudited)
| Nine Months Ended September 30, | 2004 | 2003 | ||||||
|
Cash flows from investing
activities:
|
||||||||
|
Cost of bonds, at market
sold
|
$ | 92,777 | $ | 73,483 | ||||
|
Cost of bonds, at market
matured or redeemed
|
10,776 | 10,668 | ||||||
|
Cost of equity securities
sold
|
10,621 | 6,277 | ||||||
|
Realized capital gains
(losses)
|
(72 | ) | (1,348 | ) | ||||
|
Purchases of fixed
maturities
|
(140,608 | ) | (112,221 | ) | ||||
|
Purchases of equity
securities
|
(13,490 | ) | (6,542 | ) | ||||
|
Mortgage, policy and
collateral loans granted
|
(2,257 | ) | (1,835 | ) | ||||
|
Repayments of mortgage,
policy and collateral loans
|
1,655 | 1,282 | ||||||
|
Sales of securities
available for sale
|
2,032 | 4,410 | ||||||
|
Maturities of securities
available for sale
|
3,603 | 4,143 | ||||||
|
Purchases of securities
available for sale
|
(9,444 | ) | (8,037 | ) | ||||
|
Sales of flight equipment
|
1,155 | 808 | ||||||
|
Purchases of flight
equipment
|
(3,932 | ) | (4,313 | ) | ||||
|
Net additions to real
estate and other fixed assets
|
(531 | ) | (776 | ) | ||||
|
Sales or distributions of
other invested assets
|
5,434 | 5,055 | ||||||
|
Acquisitions, net of cash
acquired
|
| (2,091 | ) | |||||
|
Investments in other
invested assets
|
(8,551 | ) | (7,737 | ) | ||||
|
Change in short-term
investments
|
454 | (319 | ) | |||||
|
Investments in partially
owned companies
|
3 | 219 | ||||||
|
Finance receivable
originations and purchases
|
(18,026 | ) | (9,466 | ) | ||||
|
Finance receivable
principal payments received
|
13,823 | 8,254 | ||||||
|
Net cash used in investing
activities
|
$ | (54,578 | ) | $ | (40,086 | ) | ||
|
Cash flows from financing
activities:
|
||||||||
|
Receipts from
policyholders contract deposits
|
$ | 40,393 | $ | 27,399 | ||||
|
Withdrawals from
policyholders contract deposits
|
(16,965 | ) | (12,364 | ) | ||||
|
Change in trust deposits
and deposits due to banks and other depositors
|
136 | 480 | ||||||
|
Change in commercial paper
|
3,286 | (1,488 | ) | |||||
|
Proceeds from notes,
bonds, loans and mortgages payable
|
22,471 | 17,827 | ||||||
|
Repayments on notes,
bonds, loans and mortgages payable
|
(15,849 | ) | (10,891 | ) | ||||
|
Liquidation of zero
coupon notes payable
|
(189 | ) | | |||||
|
Proceeds from guaranteed
investment agreements
|
8,006 | 3,957 | ||||||
|
Maturities of guaranteed
investment agreements
|
(4,882 | ) | (4,714 | ) | ||||
|
Redemption of subsidiary
company preferred stock
|
(200 | ) | (371 | ) | ||||
|
Proceeds from common
stock issued
|
130 | 44 | ||||||
|
Cash dividends to
shareholders
|
(535 | ) | (415 | ) | ||||
|
Acquisition of treasury
stock
|
(508 | ) | (176 | ) | ||||
|
Other net
|
1 | 1 | ||||||
|
Net cash provided by financing
activities
|
$ | 35,295 | $ | 19,289 | ||||
|
Supplementary information:
|
||||||||
|
Taxes paid
|
$ | 2,011 | $ | 1,861 | ||||
|
Interest paid
|
$ | 3,119 | $ | 2,792 | ||||
5
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(in millions) (unaudited)
| Nine Months | Three Months | |||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | |||||||||||||||||
| September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||||||
| 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||||
|
Comprehensive income:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 8,030 | $ | 6,567 | $ | 2,512 | $ | 2,337 | ||||||||||
|
Other comprehensive income (loss):
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Unrealized appreciation (depreciation) of
investments net of reclassification adjustments
|
274 | 4,340 | 5,135 | (3,249 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Deferred income tax (expense) benefit on above
changes
|
(55 | ) | (1,529 | ) | (1,850 | ) | 1,159 | |||||||||||
|
Foreign currency translation
adjustments*
|
155 | (38 | ) | 198 | (494 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
Applicable income tax (expense) benefit on above
changes
|
(40 | ) | 54 | (62 | ) | 133 | ||||||||||||
|
Net derivative gains (losses) arising from cash
flow hedging activities
|
240 | 383 | (451 | ) | 261 | |||||||||||||
|
Deferred income tax (expense) benefit on above
changes
|
(55 | ) | (122 | ) | 144 | (94 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Retirement plan liabilities adjustment, net of tax
|
(63 | ) | (68 | ) | (54 | ) | (2 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Other comprehensive income (loss)
|
456 | 3,020 | 3,060 | (2,286 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Comprehensive income
|
$ | 8,486 | $ | 9,587 | $ | 5,572 | $ | 51 | ||||||||||
| * | Includes insignificant derivative gains and losses arising from hedges of net investments in foreign operations. |
6
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
| 1. | Financial Statement Presentation |
These statements are unaudited. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals have been made for a fair statement of the results presented herein. All material intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated. Certain accounts have been reclassified in the 2003 financial statements to conform to their 2004 presentation. For further information, refer to the Annual Report on Form 10-K of American International Group, Inc. (AIG) for the year ended December 31, 2003.
| 2. | Segment Information |
Beginning with the first quarter of 2004, AIG reported Retirement Services results in the same segment as Life Insurance, reflecting the convergence of protective and retirement products and AIGs current management of these operations. To conform to 2004 presentation, 2003 accounts have been restated.
The following table summarizes the operations by major operating segment for the nine months and quarter ended September 30, 2004 and 2003:
| Nine Months | Three Months | ||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | ||||||||||||||||
| September 30, | September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
| Operating Segments | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||
|
Revenues:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
General Insurance(a)
|
$ | 31,686 | $ | 25,258 | $ | 11,153 | $ | 8,958 | |||||||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement
Services(b)
|
32,637 | 26,273 | 11,213 | 8,800 | |||||||||||||
|
Financial Services (c)
|
5,768 | 5,495 | 2,038 | 1,885 | |||||||||||||
|
Asset Management(d)
|
2,927 | 2,458 | 987 | 823 | |||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(161 | ) | (360 | ) | 20 | (160 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Consolidated
|
$ | 72,857 | $ | 59,124 | $ | 25,411 | $ | 20,306 | |||||||||
|
Operating income(e)(f):
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
General Insurance
|
$ | 4,004 | $ | 3,596 | $ | 855 | $ | 1,240 | |||||||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
|
6,302 | 4,659 | 2,167 | 1,705 | |||||||||||||
|
Financial Services
|
1,788 | 1,762 | 656 | 609 | |||||||||||||
|
Asset Management
|
869 | 578 | 353 | 208 | |||||||||||||
|
Other(g)
|
(325 | ) | (737 | ) | (73 | ) | (258 | ) | |||||||||
|
Consolidated
|
$ | 12,638 | $ | 9,858 | $ | 3,958 | $ | 3,504 | |||||||||
| (a) | Represents the sum of General Insurance net premiums earned, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (b) | Represents the sum of GAAP Life Insurance & Retirement Services premiums, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (c) | Represents interest, lease and finance charges. |
| (d) | Represents management and advisory fees, and net investment income with respect to guaranteed investment contracts. |
| (e) | Represents income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change. |
| (f) | Catastrophe losses for the first nine months and third quarter of 2004 were $814 million compared to $73 million for the same periods of 2003. |
| (g) | Represents other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses). |
The following table summarizes AIGs General Insurance operations by major operating unit for the nine months and quarter ended September 30, 2004 and 2003:
| Nine Months | Three Months | ||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | ||||||||||||||||
| September 30, | September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
| General Insurance | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||
|
Revenues:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Domestic Brokerage Group
|
$ | 17,947 | $ | 13,916 | $ | 6,539 | $ | 4,905 | |||||||||
|
Transatlantic
|
2,964 | 2,528 | 1,021 | 939 | |||||||||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
3,312 | 2,761 | 1,128 | 959 | |||||||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
485 | 489 | 165 | 155 | |||||||||||||
|
Foreign General
|
6,955 | 5,597 | 2,293 | 1,996 | |||||||||||||
|
Reclassifications and Eliminations
|
23 | (33 | ) | 7 | 4 | ||||||||||||
|
Total General Insurance
|
$ | 31,686 | $ | 25,258 | $ | 11,153 | $ | 8,958 | |||||||||
|
Operating Income (loss):
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Domestic Brokerage Group*
|
$ | 2,156 | $ | 1,808 | $ | 519 | $ | 547 | |||||||||
|
Transatlantic*
|
188 | 284 | (43 | ) | 107 | ||||||||||||
|
Personal Lines*
|
253 | 190 | 72 | 75 | |||||||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
294 | 332 | 95 | 100 | |||||||||||||
|
Foreign General*
|
1,090 | 1,015 | 205 | 407 | |||||||||||||
|
Reclassifications and Eliminations
|
23 | (33 | ) | 7 | 4 | ||||||||||||
|
Total General Insurance
|
$ | 4,004 | $ | 3,596 | $ | 855 | $ | 1,240 | |||||||||
| * | Catastrophe losses for the first nine months and third quarter of 2004 by segment were: Domestic Brokerage Group $406 million, Personal Lines $25 million, Transatlantic $165 million and Foreign General $140 million. Catastrophe losses for the first nine months and third quarter of 2003 by segment were: Domestic Brokerage Group $48 million, Personal Lines $5 million, Transatlantic $4 million and Foreign General $16 million. |
The following table summarizes AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations by major operating unit for the nine months and quarter ended September 30, 2004 and 2003:
| Nine Months | Three Months | |||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | |||||||||||||||||
| Life Insurance & | September 30, | September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
| Retirement Services | ||||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | ||||||||||||||
|
Revenues:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Foreign:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
American International Assurance and Nan Shan Life
|
$ | 11,446 | $ | 9,458 | $ | 4,044 | $ | 3,141 | ||||||||||
|
ALICO, AIG Star Life and AIG Edison Life
|
9,145 | 5,985 | 3,038 | 1,996 | ||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
396 | 352 | 146 | 119 | ||||||||||||||
|
Domestic:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
AGLA and AG Life(a)
|
6,784 | 6,349 | 2,300 | 2,102 | ||||||||||||||
|
VALIC, AIG Annuity and AIG
SunAmerica(b)
|
4,866 | 4,129 | 1,685 | 1,442 | ||||||||||||||
|
Total Life Insurance & Retirement
Services
|
$ | 32,637 | $ | 26,273 | $ | 11,213 | $ | 8,800 | ||||||||||
7
| 2. | Segment Information (continued) |
| Nine Months | Three Months | |||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | |||||||||||||||||
| Life Insurance & | September 30, | September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
| Retirement Services | ||||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | ||||||||||||||
|
Operating Income:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
Foreign:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
American International Assurance and Nan Shan Life
|
$ | 1,515 | $ | 1,170 | $ | 472 | $ | 494 | ||||||||||
|
ALICO, AIG Star Life and AIG Edison Life
|
2,005 | 1,301 | 730 | 474 | ||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
65 | 72 | 21 | 25 | ||||||||||||||
|
Domestic:
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
AGLA and AG Life(a)
|
1,196 | 1,117 | 396 | 362 | ||||||||||||||
|
VALIC, AIG Annuity and AIG
SunAmerica(b)
|
1,521 | 999 | 548 | 350 | ||||||||||||||
|
Total Life Insurance & Retirement
Services
|
$ | 6,302 | $ | 4,659 | $ | 2,167 | $ | 1,705 | ||||||||||
| (a) | Includes the life operations of AIG Life Insurance Company and American International Life Assurance Company of New York. |
| (b) | AIG SunAmerica represents the annuity operations of AIG SunAmerica Life Assurance Company, as well as those of First SunAmerica Life Insurance Company and SunAmerica Life Insurance Company. |
The following table summarizes AIGs Financial Services operations by major operating unit for the nine months and quarter ended September 30, 2004 and 2003:
| Nine Months | Three Months | ||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | ||||||||||||||||
| September 30, | September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
| Financial Services | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||
|
Revenues:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Aircraft Finance
|
$ | 2,404 | $ | 2,272 | $ | 842 | $ | 785 | |||||||||
|
Capital Markets*
|
1,161 | 1,242 | 426 | 434 | |||||||||||||
|
Consumer Finance
|
2,178 | 1,957 | 762 | 664 | |||||||||||||
|
Other
|
25 | 24 | 8 | 2 | |||||||||||||
|
Total Financial Services
|
$ | 5,768 | $ | 5,495 | $ | 2,038 | $ | 1,885 | |||||||||
|
Operating income:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Aircraft Finance
|
$ | 547 | $ | 548 | $ | 204 | $ | 190 | |||||||||
|
Capital Markets*
|
664 | 729 | 248 | 241 | |||||||||||||
|
Consumer Finance
|
579 | 489 | 204 | 174 | |||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(2 | ) | (4 | ) | | 4 | |||||||||||
|
Total Financial Services
|
$ | 1,788 | $ | 1,762 | $ | 656 | $ | 609 | |||||||||
| * | Represents AIG Financial Products Corp. and AIG Trading Group Inc. |
The following table summarizes AIGs Asset Management revenues and operating income for the nine months and quarter ended September 30, 2004 and 2003:
| Nine Months | Three Months | ||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | ||||||||||||||||
| September 30, | September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
| Asset Management | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||
|
Revenues:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Guaranteed Investment Contracts
|
$ | 2,024 | $ | 1,854 | $ | 682 | $ | 617 | |||||||||
|
Institutional Asset
Management(a)
|
718 | 456 | 243 | 156 | |||||||||||||
|
Brokerage Services and Mutual Funds
|
185 | 148 | 62 | 50 | |||||||||||||
|
Total Asset Management
|
$ | 2,927 | $ | 2,458 | $ | 987 | $ | 823 | |||||||||
|
Operating income:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Guaranteed Investment Contracts
|
$ | 477 | $ | 393 | $ | 142 | $ | 135 | |||||||||
|
Institutional Asset
Management(a)(b)
|
338 | 141 | 194 | 53 | |||||||||||||
|
Brokerage Services and Mutual Funds
|
54 | 44 | 17 | 20 | |||||||||||||
|
Total Asset Management
|
$ | 869 | $ | 578 | $ | 353 | $ | 208 | |||||||||
| (a) | Includes AIG Global Investment Group and certain smaller asset management operations. |
| (b) | Includes the results of certain AIG managed private equity and real estate funds consolidated effective December 31, 2003 pursuant to FIN46R, Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities. For the first nine months and third quarter of 2004, operating income includes $147 million and $116 million, respectively, of third-party limited partner earnings offset in Minority interest expense. |
| 3. | Earnings Per Share |
Earnings per share of AIG are based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period.
Computation of Earnings Per Share:
| Nine Months | Three Months | ||||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | ||||||||||||||||
| September 30, | September 30, | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||
|
Numerator for basic earnings per
share:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 8,211 | $ | 6,567 | $ | 2,512 | $ | 2,337 | |||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
(181 | ) | | | | ||||||||||||
|
Net income applicable to common stock
|
$ | 8,030 | $ | 6,567 | $ | 2,512 | $ | 2,337 | |||||||||
|
Denominator for basic earnings per
share:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Average shares outstanding used in the
computation of per share earnings:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Common stock issued
|
2,752 | 2,752 | 2,752 | 2,752 | |||||||||||||
|
Common stock in treasury
|
(144 | ) | (142 | ) | (146 | ) | (142 | ) | |||||||||
|
Average shares outstanding basic
|
2,608 | 2,610 | 2,606 | 2,610 | |||||||||||||
8
| 3. | Earnings Per Share (continued) |
| Nine Months | Three Months | |||||||||||||||
| Ended | Ended | |||||||||||||||
| September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||||
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | 2004 | 2003 | 2004 | 2003 | ||||||||||||
|
Numerator for diluted earnings per
share:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 8,211 | $ | 6,567 | $ | 2,512 | $ | 2,337 | ||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
(181 | ) | | | | |||||||||||
|
Net income applicable to common stock
|
$ | 8,030 | $ | 6,567 | $ | 2,512 | $ | 2,337 | ||||||||
|
Denominator for diluted earnings per
share:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Average shares outstanding
|
2,608 | 2,610 | 2,606 | 2,610 | ||||||||||||
|
Incremental shares from potential common stock:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Average number of shares arising from outstanding
employee stock plans (treasury stock method)*
|
22 | 18 | 22 | 18 | ||||||||||||
|
Average shares outstanding diluted
|
2,630 | 2,628 | 2,628 | 2,628 | ||||||||||||
|
Earnings per share:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Basic:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 3.15 | $ | 2.52 | $ | 0.97 | $ | 0.90 | ||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
(0.07 | ) | | | | |||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 3.08 | $ | 2.52 | $ | 0.97 | $ | 0.90 | ||||||||
|
Diluted:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 3.12 | $ | 2.50 | $ | 0.95 | $ | 0.89 | ||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
(0.07 | ) | | | | |||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 3.05 | $ | 2.50 | $ | 0.95 | $ | 0.89 | ||||||||
| * | Certain shares related to employee stock plans were not included in the computation of diluted earnings per share where the exercise price of the options exceeded the average market price and would have been antidilutive. The number of shares excluded were 7.9 million and 24.9 million for the first nine months of 2004 and 2003, respectively. |
Pursuant to Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 148, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation Transition and Disclosure, an amendment to FASB Statement No. 123 (FAS 148), AIG adopted the Prospective Method of accounting for stock-based employee compensation effective January 1, 2003. FAS 148 also requires that AIG disclose the impact of stock-based compensation expense that would have been recognized if the fair value based method had been applied to all the awards vesting in the current period.
The impact with respect to stock-based compensation expense that would have been recognized if the fair value based method had been applied to all the awards vesting in the first nine months of 2004 and the third quarter of 2004 was approximately $0.01 per share and less that $0.005 per share, respectively.
The quarterly dividend rate per common share, commencing with the dividend paid September 17, 2004 is $0.075.
| 4. | Starr International Company, Inc. Plan |
Starr International Company, Inc. (SICO) provides a Deferred Compensation Profit Participation Plan (SICO Plan) to certain AIG employees. The SICO Plan came into being in 1975 when the voting shareholders and Board of Directors of SICO, a private holding company whose principal asset consists of AIG common stock, decided that a portion of the capital value of SICO should be used to provide an incentive plan for the current and succeeding managements of all American International companies, including AIG. Participation in the SICO Plan by any person, and the amount of such participation, is at the sole discretion of SICOs Board of Directors, and none of the costs of the various benefits provided under such plan is paid by or charged to AIG. The SICO Plan provides that shares currently owned by SICO may be set aside by SICO for the benefit of the participant and distributed upon retirement. The SICO Board of Directors may permit an early pay-out under certain circumstances. Prior to pay-out, the participant is not entitled to vote, dispose of or receive dividends with respect to such shares, and shares are subject to forfeiture under certain conditions, including but not limited to the participants voluntary termination of employment with AIG prior to normal retirement age. In addition, SICOs Board of Directors may elect to pay a participant cash in lieu of shares of AIG common stock. If the expenses of the SICO Plan had been reflected by AIG, the pre-tax amounts accrued would have been $39 million for the first nine months of 2004 and $96 million for the same period of 2003 and $13 million and $32 million for the third quarter of 2004 and 2003, respectively.
| 5. | Commitments and Contingent Liabilities |
(a) In the normal course of business, various commitments and contingent liabilities are entered into by AIG and certain of its subsidiaries. In addition, AIG guarantees various obligations of certain subsidiaries.
(i) AIG and certain of its subsidiaries become parties to derivative financial instruments with market risk resulting from both dealer and end user activities and to reduce currency, interest rate, equity and commodity exposures. These instruments are carried at their estimated fair values in the consolidated balance sheet. The vast majority of AIGs derivative activity is transacted by AIG Financial Products Corp. and its subsidiaries (AIGFP) and AIG Trading Group Inc. and
9
| 5. | Commitments and Contingent Liabilities (continued) |
its subsidiaries (AIGTG). For further discussion on AIGs derivative activities, see also Note 21 of the Notes to Financial Statements in AIGs December 31, 2003 10-K.
(ii) Securities sold, but not yet purchased and spot commodities sold but not yet purchased represent obligations of Capital Markets operations to deliver specified securities and spot commodities at their contracted prices, and thereby record a liability to repurchase the securities and spot commodities in the market at prevailing prices.
AIG has issued unconditional guarantees with respect to the prompt payment, when due, of all present and future payment obligations and liabilities of AIGFP and AIGTG arising from transactions entered into by AIGFP and AIGTG. Net revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 from Capital Markets operations were $1.16 billion and $1.24 billion, respectively. The Capital Markets operating and reporting unit was established by integrating the operations of AIGTG with AIGFP.
(iii) At September 30, 2004, International Lease Finance Corporation (ILFC) had committed to purchase 378 new and used aircraft deliverable from 2004 through 2010 at an estimated aggregate purchase price of $22.5 billion and had options to purchase nine new aircraft at an estimated aggregate purchase price of $650 million. ILFC will be required to find customers for any aircraft acquired, and it must arrange financing for portions of the purchase price of such equipment.
(iv) SAI Deferred Compensation Holdings, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of AIG, has established a deferred compensation plan for registered representatives of certain AIG subsidiaries, pursuant to which participants have the opportunity to invest deferred commissions and fees on a notional basis. The value of the deferred compensation fluctuates with the value of the deferred investment alternatives chosen. AIG has provided a full and unconditional guarantee of the obligations of SAI Deferred Compensation Holdings, Inc. to pay the deferred compensation under the plan.
(b) Various federal and state regulatory agencies are reviewing certain transactions and practices of AIG and its subsidiaries in connection with industry-wide and other inquiries. See discussion under Recent Developments in Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations herein.
| 6. | Employee Benefits |
The following table presents the components of the net periodic benefit costs with respect to pensions and other benefits for the nine months and quarter ended September 30, 2004 and 2003:
| Pensions | Postretirement | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Non-U.S. | U.S. | Non-U.S. | U.S. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| (In millions) | Plans | Plans | Total | Plans | Plans | Total | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2004
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Components of net period benefit cost:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Service cost
|
$ | 45 | $ | 69 | $ | 114 | $ | | $ | 3 | $ | 3 | |||||||||||||
|
Interest cost
|
24 | 120 | 144 | | 12 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Expected return on assets
|
(15 | ) | (129 | ) | (144 | ) | | | | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of prior service cost
|
(2 | ) | 3 | 1 | | (5 | ) | (5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of transitional liability
|
2 | | 2 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Recognized actuarial loss
|
15 | 42 | 57 | | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Net period benefit cost
|
$ | 69 | $ | 105 | $ | 174 | $ | | $ | 12 | $ | 12 | |||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
2004
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Components of net period benefit cost:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Service cost
|
$ | 15 | $ | 23 | $ | 38 | $ | | $ | 1 | $ | 1 | |||||||||||||
|
Interest cost
|
8 | 40 | 48 | | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Expected return on assets
|
(5 | ) | (43 | ) | (48 | ) | | | | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of prior service cost
|
(1 | ) | 1 | | | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of transitional liability
|
1 | | 1 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Recognized actuarial loss
|
5 | 14 | 19 | | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Net period benefit cost
|
$ | 23 | $ | 35 | $ | 58 | $ | | $ | 4 | $ | 4 | |||||||||||||
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Components of net period benefit cost:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Service cost
|
$ | 39 | $ | 60 | $ | 99 | $ | 1 | $ | 3 | $ | 4 | |||||||||||||
|
Interest cost
|
24 | 112 | 136 | | 12 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Expected return on assets
|
(13 | ) | (108 | ) | (121 | ) | | | | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of prior service cost
|
(2 | ) | 3 | 1 | | (5 | ) | (5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of transitional liability
|
2 | 1 | 3 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Recognized actuarial loss
|
15 | 46 | 61 | | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(20 | ) | | (20 | ) | | | | |||||||||||||||||
|
Net period benefit cost
|
$ | 45 | $ | 114 | $ | 159 | $ | 1 | $ | 11 | $ | 12 | |||||||||||||
10
| 6. | Employee Benefit (continued) |
| Pensions | Postretirement | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Non-U.S. | U.S. | Non-U.S. | U.S. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| (In millions) | Plans | Plans | Total | Plans | Plans | Total | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended September 30, 2003
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Components of net period benefit cost:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Service cost
|
$ | 13 | $ | 20 | $ | 33 | $ | 1 | $ | 1 | $ | 2 | |||||||||||||
|
Interest cost
|
8 | 37 | 45 | | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Expected return on assets
|
(4 | ) | (36 | ) | (40 | ) | | | | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of prior service cost
|
(1 | ) | 2 | 1 | | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of transitional liability
|
1 | | 1 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Recognized actuarial loss
|
5 | 15 | 20 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(7 | ) | | (7 | ) | | | | |||||||||||||||||
|
Net period benefit cost
|
$ | 15 | $ | 38 | $ | 53 | $ | 1 | $ | 3 | $ | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 7. | Recent Accounting Standards |
In January 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Interpretation No. 46, Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities (FIN 46). FIN 46 changes the method of determining whether certain entities should be consolidated in AIGs consolidated financial statements. An entity is subject to FIN 46 and is called a Variable Interest Entity (VIE) if it has (i) equity that is insufficient to permit the entity to finance its activities without additional subordinated financial support from other parties, or (ii) equity investors that cannot make significant decisions about the entitys operations, or that do not absorb the expected losses or receive the expected returns of the entity. A VIE is consolidated by its primary beneficiary, which is the party that has a majority of the expected losses or a majority of the expected residual returns of the VIE, or both. All other entities not considered VIEs are evaluated for consolidation under other guidance. In December 2003, FASB issued a revision to Interpretation No. 46 (FIN 46R).
The provisions of FIN 46R are to be applied immediately to VIEs created after January 31, 2003, and to VIEs in which AIG obtains an interest after that date. For VIEs in which AIG holds a variable interest that it acquired before February 1, 2003, FIN 46R was applied as of December 31, 2003. For any VIEs that must be consolidated under FIN 46R that were created before February 1, 2003, the assets, liabilities and noncontrolling interest of the VIEs were initially measured at their carrying amounts with any difference between the net amount added to the balance sheet and any previously recognized interest being recognized as the cumulative effect of an accounting change. In accordance with the transition provisions of FIN 46R, AIG recorded a gain of $9 million reported as a cumulative effect of an accounting change for the fourth quarter of 2003 and added approximately $4.7 billion of assets and liabilities in its consolidated balance sheet at December 31, 2003.
For further discussion on AIGs involvement with special purpose vehicles, see also Note 20 of Notes to Financial Statements in AIGs December 31, 2003 10-K.
In July 2003, the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants issued Statement of Position 03-1, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Nontraditional Long-Duration Contracts and for Separate Accounts (SOP 03-1). This Statement was effective January 1, 2004, and requires AIG to recognize a liability for guaranteed minimum death benefits and other living benefits related to its variable annuity and variable life contracts and modifies certain disclosures and financial statement presentations for these products. AIG reported for the first quarter of 2004 a one-time cumulative accounting charge upon adoption of $181 million to reflect the liability as of January 1, 2004. For the first nine months of 2004, the ongoing earnings impact of AIGs adoption of SOP 03-1 was a charge of $10 million to benefit expense.
As of January 1, 2004, approximately $11 billion of assets and liabilities representing most of the non-U.S. portion of AIGs separate and variable account assets and liabilities were reclassified in accordance with SOP 03-1 to several invested asset captions and to the Policyholders contract deposits liability caption, respectively. Approximately $11 billion of separate and variable account assets were reclassified as follows: $4 billion to Short-term investments; $4 billion to Equity securities common stocks; $2 billion to Fixed maturities bond trading securities; and $1 billion to various other asset captions.
Except as noted above, AIG reports variable contracts through separate and variable accounts when investment income and investment gains and losses accrue directly to, and investment risk is borne by, the contract holder (traditional variable annuities). AIG also reports variable annuity and life contracts through separate and variable accounts where AIG contractually guarantees to the contract holder (variable contracts with guarantees) either (a) total deposits made to the contract less any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return (and in minor instances, no minimum returns), (Net Deposits Plus a Minimum Return) or (b) the highest contract value attained, typically on any anniversary date minus any subsequent withdrawals following the contract anniversary (Highest Contract Value Attained). These guarantees include benefits that are payable in the event of death, annuitization,
11
| 7. | Recent Accounting Standards (continued) |
or in other instances, at specified dates during the accumulation period. Such benefits are referred to as guaranteed minimum death benefits (GMDB), guaranteed minimum income benefits (GMIB), and guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit (GMWB) or guaranteed minimum account value benefits (GMAV), respectively. For AIG, GMDB is by far the most widely offered benefit.
The assets supporting the variable portion of both traditional variable annuities and variable contracts with guarantees are carried at fair value and reported as summary total separate and variable account assets with an equivalent summary total reported for liabilities. Amounts assessed against the contract holders for mortality, administrative, and other services are included in revenue and changes in liabilities for minimum guarantees are included in policyholder benefits in the Consolidated Statement of Income. Separate and variable account net investment income, net investment gains and losses, and the related liability changes are offset within the same line item in the Consolidated Statement of Income.
The vast majority of AIGs exposure on guarantees made to variable contract holders arises from GMDB. Details concerning AIGs GMDB exposures as of September 30, 2004 are as follows:
| Net Deposits | Highest | |||||||
| Plus a Minimum | Contract | |||||||
| (in billions) | Return | Value Attained | ||||||
|
Account Value(a)
|
$ | 53 | $ | 11 | ||||
|
Amount at Risk(b)
|
9 | 2 | ||||||
|
Average Attained Age of Contract Holders by
Product
|
50-70 years | 50-70 years | ||||||
|
Range of Guaranteed Minimum Return Rates
|
0-5% | 0% | ||||||
| (a) | Included in Policyholders Contract Deposits in the Consolidated Balance Sheet. |
| (b) | Represents the amount of death benefit currently in excess of Account Value. |
The following summarizes GMDB liabilities for guarantees on variable contracts reflected in the general account.
| (in millions) | ||||
|
Balance at January 1*
|
$ | 479 | ||
|
Guaranteed benefits incurred
|
116 | |||
|
Guaranteed benefits paid
|
(78 | ) | ||
|
Balance at September 30, 2004
|
$ | 517 | ||
| * | Includes amounts from the one-time cumulative accounting charge resulting from the adoption of SOP 03-1. |
The GMDB liability is determined each period end by estimating the expected value of death benefits in excess of the projected account balance and recognizing the excess ratably over the accumulation period based on total expected assessments. AIG regularly evaluates estimates used and adjusts the additional liability balance, with a related charge or credit to benefit expense, if actual experience or other evidence suggests that earlier assumptions should be revised.
The following assumptions and methodology were used to determine the domestic and foreign GMDB liability as of September 30, 2004:
| | Data used was up to 5,000 stochastically generated investment performance scenarios. |
| | Mean investment performance assumptions ranged from approximately 4 percent to 10 percent depending on the block of business. |
| | Volatility assumptions ranged from 16 percent to 27 percent depending on the block of business. |
| | Mortality was assumed at between 60 percent and 100 percent of various life and annuity mortality tables. |
| | For domestic contracts, lapse rates vary by contract type and duration and ranged from 1 percent to 30 percent. For Japan, lapse rates ranged from 0 percent to 20 percent depending on the type of contract. |
| | For domestic contracts, the discount rate was approximately 8 percent. For Japan, the discount rate ranged from 2 percent to 7 percent. |
In addition to GMDB, AIGs contracts currently include to a lesser extent GMIB. The GMIB liability is determined each period end by estimating the expected value of the annuitization benefits in excess of the projected account balance at the date of annuitization and recognizing the excess ratably over the accumulation period based on total expected assessments. AIG regularly evaluates estimates used and adjusts the additional liability balance, with a related charge or credit to benefit expense, if actual experience or other evidence suggests that earlier assumptions should be revised. As of September 30, 2004, most of AIGs GMIB exposure was transferred via reinsurance agreements. Contracts with GMIB not reinsured have account values of $1.0 billion.
AIGs contracts currently include a minimal amount of GMAV and GMWB. GMAV and GMWB are considered to be derivatives under Financial Accounting Standards Board Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, and are recognized at fair value through earnings. AIG enters into derivative contracts to partially hedge the economic exposure that arises from GMAV and GMWB.
In December 2003, FASB issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (FAS) No. 132 (Revised) Employers Disclosures About Pensions and Other Post Retirement Benefits which revised disclosure requirements with respect to defined benefit plans. (See also Note 6.)
At the March 2004 meeting, the Emerging Issue Task Force (EITF) reached a consensus with respect to Issue No. 03-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments. On September 30, 2004, the FASB issued FASB Staff Position (FSP)
12
| 7. | Recent Accounting Standards (continued) |
EITF Issue 03-1-1, Effective Date of Paragraphs 10-20 of EITF Issue No. 03-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments delaying the effective date of this guidance until the FASB has resolved certain implementation issues with respect to this guidance. The disclosure requirements of EITF 03-1 were previously adopted by AIG as of December 31, 2003 and reflected in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for that year for investments accounted for under FAS No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities. For all other investments within the scope of this Issue, the disclosures are effective for the year ending December 31, 2004.
At the September 2004 meeting, the EITF reached a consensus with respect to Issue No. 04-8, Accounting Issues Related to Certain Features of Contingently Convertible Debt and the Effect on Diluted Earnings per Share. This Issue addresses when the dilutive effect of contingently convertible debt (Co-Cos) with a market price trigger should be included in diluted earnings per share (EPS). The EITF concluded that these securities should be treated as convertible securities and included in a dilutive EPS calculation (if dilutive), regardless of whether the market price triggers (or other contingent features) have been met. Co-Cos are generally convertible into common shares of the issuer after the common stock has exceeded a predetermined threshold for a specific time period. The predetermined threshold is greater than the conversion price of the debt. The guidance is effective for the year ending December 31, 2004 and would be applied by retroactively restating previously reported EPS. The adoption of Issue No. 04-8 will not have a material impact on AIGs diluted EPS.
13
| 8. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt |
The following condensed consolidating financial statements are provided in compliance with Regulation S-X of the Securities and Exchange Commission.
(a) American General Corporation (AGC) is a holding company and a wholly owned subsidiary of AIG. AIG provides a full and unconditional guarantee of all outstanding debt of AGC.
American General Corporation:
Condensed Consolidating Balance Sheet
| American | |||||||||||||||||||||
| International | |||||||||||||||||||||
| September 30, 2004 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets
|
$ | 2,096 | $ | | $ | 624,695 | $ | (11,651 | ) | $ | 615,140 | ||||||||||
|
Cash
|
14 | | 2,058 | | 2,072 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Carrying value of subsidiaries and partially
owned companies, at equity
|
79,399 | 24,668 | 8,934 | (111,642 | ) | 1,359 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other assets
|
2,972 | 2,663 | 155,410 | (3,196 | ) | 157,849 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 84,481 | $ | 27,331 | $ | 791,097 | $ | (126,489 | ) | $ | 776,420 | ||||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Insurance liabilities
|
$ | 362 | $ | | $ | 414,970 | $ | (73 | ) | $ | 415,259 | ||||||||||
|
Debt
|
3,743 | 2,482 | 96,052 | (12,068 | ) | 90,209 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
1,473 | 4,229 | 188,935 | (2,781 | ) | 191,856 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
5,578 | 6,711 | 699,957 | (14,922 | ) | 697,324 | |||||||||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies
|
| | 193 | | 193 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
78,903 | 20,620 | 90,947 | (111,567 | ) | 78,903 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred shareholders
equity in subsidiary companies and shareholders equity
|
$ | 84,481 | $ | 27,331 | $ | 791,097 | $ | (126,489 | ) | $ | 776,420 | ||||||||||
| American | |||||||||||||||||||||
| International | |||||||||||||||||||||
| December 31, 2003 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets
|
$ | 1,865 | $ | | $ | 524,151 | $ | (10,500 | ) | $ | 515,516 | ||||||||||
|
Cash
|
19 | | 903 | | 922 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Carrying value of subsidiaries and partially
owned companies, at equity
|
71,318 | 21,434 | 9,534 | (100,858 | ) | 1,428 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other assets
|
2,885 | 2,602 | 155,836 | (843 | ) | 160,480 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 76,087 | $ | 24,036 | $ | 690,424 | $ | (112,201 | ) | $ | 678,346 | ||||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Insurance liabilities
|
$ | 358 | $ | | $ | 362,355 | $ | (31 | ) | $ | 362,682 | ||||||||||
|
Debt
|
3,932 | 2,824 | 80,485 | (9,963 | ) | 77,278 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
544 | 3,849 | 164,006 | (1,458 | ) | 166,941 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
4,834 | 6,673 | 606,846 | (11,452 | ) | 606,901 | |||||||||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies
|
| | 192 | | 192 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
71,253 | 17,363 | 83,386 | (100,749 | ) | 71,253 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred shareholders
equity in subsidiary companies and shareholders equity
|
$ | 76,087 | $ | 24,036 | $ | 690,424 | $ | (112,201 | ) | $ | 678,346 | ||||||||||
14
| 8. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt (continued) |
Condensed Consolidating Statement of Income
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 329 | $ | | $ | 12,634 | $ | | $ | 12,963 | ||||||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
7,480 | 1,670 | | (9,150 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
943 | 65 | | (1,008 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(435 | ) | (84 | ) | 194 | | (325 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
Income taxes (benefits)
|
287 | (56 | ) | 3,806 | | 4,037 | ||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (390 | ) | | (390 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| | (181 | ) | | (181 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 8,030 | $ | 1,707 | $ | 8,451 | $ | (10,158 | ) | $ | 8,030 | |||||||||
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 354 | $ | | $ | 10,241 | $ | | $ | 10,595 | ||||||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
5,887 | 1,254 | | (7,141 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
832 | 180 | | (1,012 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(334 | ) | (72 | ) | (331 | ) | | (737 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Income taxes (benefits)
|
172 | (14 | ) | 2,847 | | 3,005 | ||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (286 | ) | | (286 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 6,567 | $ | 1,376 | $ | 6,777 | $ | (8,153 | ) | $ | 6,567 | |||||||||
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended September 30, 2004 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 128 | $ | | $ | 3,903 | $ | | $ | 4,031 | ||||||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
2,307 | 563 | | (2,870 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
297 | 25 | | (322 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(102 | ) | (43 | ) | 72 | | (73 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
Income taxes (benefits)
|
118 | (42 | ) | 1,204 | | 1,280 | ||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (166 | ) | | (166 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 2,512 | $ | 587 | $ | 2,605 | $ | (3,192 | ) | $ | 2,512 | |||||||||
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended September 30, 2003 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 105 | $ | | $ | 3,657 | $ | | $ | 3,762 | ||||||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
2,217 | 447 | | (2,664 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
287 | 72 | | (359 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(140 | ) | (32 | ) | (86 | ) | | (258 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Income taxes (benefits)
|
132 | (11 | ) | 948 | | 1,069 | ||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (98 | ) | | (98 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 2,337 | $ | 498 | $ | 2,525 | $ | (3,023 | ) | $ | 2,337 | |||||||||
15
| 8. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt (continued) |
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Cash Flow
| American | |||||||||||||||||
| International | |||||||||||||||||
| Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | AIG | |||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
$ | 1,782 | $ | 780 | $ | 17,870 | $ | 20,432 | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from investing:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets disposed
|
(399 | ) | | 142,660 | 142,261 | ||||||||||||
|
Invested assets acquired
|
(176 | ) | | (196,132 | ) | (196,308 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Other
|
(34 | ) | (378 | ) | (119 | ) | (531 | ) | |||||||||
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
(609 | ) | (378 | ) | (53,591 | ) | (54,578 | ) | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from financing activities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Change in debts
|
(216 | ) | (342 | ) | 13,401 | 12,843 | |||||||||||
|
Other
|
(854 | ) | (60 | ) | 23,366 | 22,452 | |||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by (used in) financing
activities
|
(1,070 | ) | (402 | ) | 36,767 | 35,295 | |||||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation adjustments
|
(107 | ) | | 108 | 1 | ||||||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
(4 | ) | | 1,154 | 1,150 | ||||||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
19 | | 903 | 922 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 15 | $ | | $ | 2,057 | $ | $2,072 | |||||||||
| American | |||||||||||||||||
| International | |||||||||||||||||
| Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | AIG | |||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
$ | 806 | $ | 1,269 | $ | 18,482 | $ | 20,557 | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from investing:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets disposed
|
(1,795 | ) | | 114,727 | 112,932 | ||||||||||||
|
Invested assets acquired
|
| | (150,151 | ) | (150,151 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Acquisitions, net of cash acquired
|
| | (2,091 | ) | (2,091 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Other
|
(45 | ) | (836 | ) | 105 | (776 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
(1,840 | ) | (836 | ) | (37,410 | ) | (40,086 | ) | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from financing activities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Change in debts
|
1,554 | (377 | ) | 3,514 | 4,691 | ||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(531 | ) | (57 | ) | 15,186 | 14,598 | |||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by (used in) financing
activities
|
1,023 | (434 | ) | 18,700 | 19,289 | ||||||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation adjustments
|
| | 24 | 24 | |||||||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
(11 | ) | (1 | ) | (204 | ) | (216 | ) | |||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
18 | 1 | 1,146 | 1,165 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 7 | $ | | $ | 942 | $ | 949 | |||||||||
16
| 8. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt (continued) |
(b) AIG Liquidity Corp. is a wholly owned subsidiary of AIG. AIG provides a full and unconditional guarantee of all obligations of AIG Liquidity Corp., which commenced operations in 2003.
AIG Liquidity Corp.:
Condensed Consolidating Balance Sheet
| American | |||||||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | ||||||||||||||||||||
| September 30, 2004 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets
|
$ | 2,096 | $ | * | $ | 624,695 | $ | (11,651 | ) | $ | 615,140 | ||||||||||
|
Cash
|
14 | * | 2,058 | | 2,072 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Carrying value of subsidiaries and partially
owned companies, at equity
|
79,399 | | 33,602 | (111,642 | ) | 1,359 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other assets
|
2,972 | * | 158,073 | (3,196 | ) | 157,849 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 84,481 | $ | * | $ | 818,428 | $ | (126,489 | ) | $ | 776,420 | ||||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Insurance liabilities
|
$ | 362 | $ | | $ | 414,970 | $ | (73 | ) | $ | 415,259 | ||||||||||
|
Debt
|
3,743 | * | 98,534 | (12,068 | ) | 90,209 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
1,473 | * | 193,164 | (2,781 | ) | 191,856 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
5,578 | * | 706,668 | (14,922 | ) | 697,324 | |||||||||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies
|
| | 193 | | 193 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
78,903 | * | 111,567 | (111,567 | ) | 78,903 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred shareholders
equity in subsidiary companies and shareholders equity
|
$ | 84,481 | $ | * | $ | 818,428 | $ | (126,489 | ) | $ | 776,420 | ||||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
| American | |||||||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | ||||||||||||||||||||
| December 31, 2003 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets
|
$ | 1,865 | $ | * | $ | 524,151 | $ | (10,500 | ) | $ | 515,516 | ||||||||||
|
Cash
|
19 | * | 903 | | 922 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Carrying value of subsidiaries and partially
owned companies, at equity
|
71,318 | | 30,968 | (100,858 | ) | 1,428 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other assets
|
2,885 | * | 158,438 | (843 | ) | 160,480 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 76,087 | $ | * | $ | 714,460 | $ | (112,201 | ) | $ | 678,346 | ||||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Insurance liabilities
|
$ | 358 | $ | | $ | 362,355 | $ | (31 | ) | $ | 362,682 | ||||||||||
|
Debt
|
3,932 | * | 83,309 | (9,963 | ) | 77,278 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
544 | * | 167,855 | (1,458 | ) | 166,941 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
4,834 | * | 613,519 | (11,452 | ) | 606,901 | |||||||||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies
|
| | 192 | | 192 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
71,253 | * | 100,749 | (100,749 | ) | 71,253 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred shareholders
equity in subsidiary companies and shareholders equity
|
$ | 76,087 | $ | * | $ | 714,460 | $ | (112,201 | ) | $ | 678,346 | ||||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
17
| 8. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt (continued) |
Condensed Consolidating Statement of Income
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | |||||||||||||||||||
| Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 329 | $ | * | $ | 12,634 | $ | | $ | 12,963 | ||||||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
7,480 | | 1,670 | (9,150 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
943 | | 65 | (1,008 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(435 | ) | | 110 | | (325 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Income taxes
|
287 | * | 3,750 | | 4,037 | |||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (390 | ) | | (390 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| | (181 | ) | | (181 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 8,030 | $ | * | $ | 10,158 | $ | (10,158 | ) | $ | 8,030 | |||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | |||||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended September 30, 2004 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 128 | $ | * | $ | 3,903 | $ | | $ | 4,031 | ||||||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
2,307 | | 563 | (2,870 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
297 | | 25 | (322 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(102 | ) | | 29 | | (73 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Income taxes
|
118 | * | 1,162 | | 1,280 | |||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (166 | ) | | (166 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 2,512 | $ | * | $ | 3,192 | $ | (3,192 | ) | $ | 2,512 | |||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Cash Flow
| American | |||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
| Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | AIG | |||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
$ | 1,782 | $ | * | $ | 18,650 | $ | 20,432 | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from investing:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets disposed
|
(399 | ) | | 142,660 | 142,261 | ||||||||||||
|
Invested assets acquired
|
(176 | ) | | (196,132 | ) | (196,308 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Other
|
(34 | ) | * | (497 | ) | (531 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
(609 | ) | * | (53,969 | ) | (54,578 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Cash flows from financing activities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Change in debts
|
(216 | ) | | 13,059 | 12,843 | ||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(854 | ) | * | 23,306 | 22,452 | ||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by (used in) financing
activities
|
(1,070 | ) | * | 36,365 | 35,295 | ||||||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation adjustments
|
(107 | ) | | 108 | 1 | ||||||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
(4 | ) | * | 1,154 | 1,150 | ||||||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
19 | | 903 | 922 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 15 | $ | * | $ | 2,057 | $ | 2,072 | |||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
18
MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is designed to provide the reader a narrative with respect to AIGs operations, financial condition and liquidity and certain other significant matters.
INDEX
| Page | ||||||||
| 20 | ||||||||
| 21 | ||||||||
| 23 | ||||||||
| 24 | ||||||||
| 24 | ||||||||
| 25 | ||||||||
| 26 | ||||||||
| 28 | ||||||||
| 31 | ||||||||
| 34 | ||||||||
| 35 | ||||||||
| 36 | ||||||||
| 37 | ||||||||
| 38 | ||||||||
| 38 | ||||||||
| 41 | ||||||||
| 42 | ||||||||
| 43 | ||||||||
| 45 | ||||||||
| 45 | ||||||||
| 45 | ||||||||
| CAPITAL RESOURCES | 46 | |||||||
| 46 | ||||||||
| 48 | ||||||||
| 48 | ||||||||
| 48 | ||||||||
| 48 | ||||||||
| 49 | ||||||||
| 50 | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 50 | |||||||
| MANAGING MARKET RISK | 51 | |||||||
| 51 | ||||||||
| 52 | ||||||||
| DERIVATIVES | 53 | |||||||
| RECENT ACCOUNTING STANDARDS | 54 | |||||||
| CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES | 54 | |||||||
| EX-10.A FORMS OF STOCK OPTION GRANT AGREEMENTS | ||||||||
| EX-10.B FORM OF RESTRICTED STOCK UNIT AWARD AGREEMENT | ||||||||
| EX-12 STATEMENT RE COMPUTATION OF RATIOS | ||||||||
| EX-31 CERTIFICATIONS | ||||||||
| EX-32 CERTIFICATIONS | ||||||||
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-Looking Information
This Quarterly Report and other publicly available documents may include, and AIGs officers and representatives may from time to time make, statements which may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are not historical facts but instead represent only AIGs belief regarding future events, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and outside of AIGs control. These statements may address, among other things, AIGs strategy for growth, product development, regulatory approvals, market position, financial results and reserves. It is possible that AIGs actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial condition indicated in these forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause AIGs actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those in the specific forward-looking statements are discussed throughout this Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations. AIG is not under any obligation to (and expressly disclaims any such obligations to) update or alter any forward-looking statement, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
19
Throughout this Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, AIG presents its operations in the way it believes will be most meaningful. Statutory underwriting profit (loss) and combined ratios are presented in accordance with accounting principles prescribed by insurance regulatory authorities because these are standard measures of performance used in the insurance industry and thus allow more meaningful comparisons with AIGs insurance competitors. AIG has also incorporated into this discussion a number of parenthetical cross-references to additional information included throughout this Form 10-Q to assist readers seeking related information on a particular subject.
Overview
AIGs operations in 2004 are conducted by its subsidiaries principally through four operating segments: General Insurance, Life Insurance & Retirement Services, Financial Services and Asset Management. Through these segments, AIG provided insurance and investment products and services to both businesses and individuals in over 130 countries and jurisdictions. This geographic product and service diversification is one of AIGs major strengths and sets it apart from its competitors. Although regional economic downturns or political upheaval could negatively impact parts of AIGs operations, AIG believes that this diversification makes it unlikely that regional difficulties would have a material impact on its operating results, financial condition or liquidity.
Beginning with the first quarter of 2004, AIG reported Retirement Services results in the same segment as Life Insurance, reflecting the convergence of protective and retirement products and AIGs current management of these operations. To conform to 2004 presentation, 2003 accounts have been restated.
For further detail, see the respective discussions on the results of the Life Insurance & Retirement Services and Asset Management in the Operating Review herein.
AIGs subsidiaries serve commercial, institutional and individual customers through an extensive property-casualty and life insurance and retirement services network. In the United States, AIG companies are the largest underwriter of commercial and industrial insurance and one of the largest life insurance and retirement services operations as well. AIGs Financial Services businesses include commercial aircraft leasing, capital markets and consumer finance, both in the United States and abroad. AIG also provides asset management services and sells guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) to institutions and individuals.
AIGs 2004 performance reflects implementation of various long-term strategies and defined goals in its various operating segments.
A primary goal of AIG in managing its General Insurance operations is to achieve an underwriting profit maintaining a combined loss and expense ratio under 100. To achieve this end, AIG is disciplined in its risk selection and premiums must be adequate to cover the risk accepted. AIG believes in strict control of expenses, so it historically has one of the lowest expense ratios in the industry.
AIG patiently builds relationships in markets around the world where it sees long-term growth opportunities. For example, AIGs ability to expand its Chinese operations more quickly and extensively than its competitors is the result of relationships developed over nearly 30 years. AIGs more recent extensions of operations into India, Brazil, Russia and other emerging markets follow the same pattern. Moreover, AIG believes in investing in the economies and infrastructures of these countries and growing with them. When AIG companies enter a new jurisdiction, they typically offer both basic protection and savings products. As the economies evolve, AIGs products evolve with them, to more complex and investment-oriented models.
Another central focus of AIG operations in current years is the development and expansion of new distribution channels. During the third quarter of 2004, AIG entered into an agreement with the Sumitomo Life Insurance Company (Sumitomo) to market insurance products underwritten by American Life Insurance Company (ALICO) in Japan. Sumitomo will initially market ALICOs cancer insurance coverage through the Sumitomo sales channel of approximately 40,000 sales representatives. ALICO and Sumitomo have also agreed to consider expanding the relationship to include other insurance products in the future. In late 2003, AIG entered into an agreement with PICC Property and Casualty Company, Ltd. (PICC) which will enable AIG companies to market accident and health products throughout China through PICCs agency system. AIG participates in the underwriting results through a reinsurance agreement. Other examples of new distribution channels used both domestically and overseas include banks, affinity groups and e-commerce.
Growth for AIG may be generated both internally and through acquisitions which both fulfill strategic goals and offer adequate return on investment. In recent years, the acquisitions of AIG Star Life Insurance Co., Ltd. (AIG Star Life) and AIG Edison Life Insurance Company (AIG Edison) have broadened AIGs penetration of the Japanese market, the second largest for life insurance in the world. These acquisitions broadened AIGs distribution channels and will result in operating efficiencies as they are integrated into AIGs previously existing companies operating in Japan.
AIG provides leadership on issues of concern to the global and local economies as well as the insurance and financial services industries. In recent years, tort reform and legislation to deal with the asbestos problem have been key issues,
20
while in prior years trade legislation and Superfund have been issues of concern.
The following table summarizes AIGs revenues, income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change and net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003:
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 | ||||||
|
Total revenues
|
$ | 72,857 | $ | 59,124 | ||||
|
Income before income taxes, minority interest and
cumulative effect of an accounting change
|
12,638 | 9,858 | ||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 8,030 | $ | 6,567 | ||||
Consolidated Results
The 23.2 percent growth in revenues in the first nine months of 2004 was primarily attributable to the growth in net premiums earned from global General Insurance operations as well as growth in both General Insurance and Life Insurance & Retirement Services net investment income and GAAP Life Insurance & Retirement Services premiums. An additional factor in 2004 was the significant decline in aggregate realized capital losses in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the realized capital losses included in the same period of 2003.
The decline in realized capital losses in 2004 reflects an improved economy, stronger corporate balance sheets and a significantly lower level of impairment loss provisions. The realized capital losses in 2003 reflect primarily impairment loss provisions. Upon the ultimate disposition of these holdings, a portion of these losses may be recovered depending on future market conditions.
AIGs income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change increased 28.2 percent in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the same period of 2003. General Insurance and Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income gains, together with the decrease in realized capital losses, generated the increase over 2003 in both pretax income and net income. Catastrophe losses in the first nine months of 2004 were $814 million pretax and $512 million, net of tax and minority interest, compared to $73 million pretax and $46 million, net of tax and minority interest, in the same period of 2003.
The following table summarizes the operations of each principal segment for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003. (See also Note 2 of Notes to Financial Statements.)
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 | |||||||
|
Revenues:
|
|||||||||
|
General Insurance(a)
|
$ | 31,686 | $ | 25,258 | |||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement
Services(b)
|
32,637 | 26,273 | |||||||
|
Financial Services(c)
|
5,768 | 5,495 | |||||||
|
Asset Management(d)
|
2,927 | 2,458 | |||||||
|
Other
|
(161 | ) | (360 | ) | |||||
|
Consolidated
|
$ | 72,857 | $ | 59,124 | |||||
|
Operating Income(e)(f):
|
|||||||||
|
General Insurance
|
$ | 4,004 | $ | 3,596 | |||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
|
6,302 | 4,659 | |||||||
|
Financial Services
|
1,788 | 1,762 | |||||||
|
Asset Management
|
869 | 578 | |||||||
|
Other(g)
|
(325 | ) | (737 | ) | |||||
|
Consolidated
|
$ | 12,638 | $ | 9,858 | |||||
| (a) | Represents the sum of General Insurance net premiums earned, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (b) | Represents the sum of GAAP Life Insurance & Retirement Services premiums, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (c) | Represents interest, lease and finance charges. |
| (d) | Represents management and advisory fees, and net investment income with respect to GICs. |
| (e) | Represents income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change. |
| (f) | Catastrophe losses for the first nine months of 2004 were $814 million compared to $73 million for the same period of 2003. |
| (g) | Represents other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses). |
General Insurance
AIGs General Insurance operations provide property and casualty products and services throughout the world. The increase in General Insurance operating income in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same period of 2003 was primarily attributable to strong growth in operating income with respect to Domestic Brokerage Group operations. General Insurance operating income in 2004 includes $736 million of catastrophe losses from hurricanes and typhoons compared to $73 million in the same period of 2003. In addition, General Insurance operations had realized capital gains in 2004 compared to realized capital losses in 2003.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations provide traditional insurance, financial and investment products throughout the world. AIGs foreign operations provide over 50 percent of AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income increased by 35.3 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same period of 2003. This increase resulted from growth in each of AIGs principal Life Insurance &
21
Retirement Services businesses and the capital gains realized in 2004 rather than the capital losses realized in 2003.
Financial Services
AIGs Financial Services subsidiaries engage in diversified financial products and services including aircraft leasing, capital market transactions, consumer finance and insurance premium financing.
Financial Services operating income increased in the first nine months of 2004 compared to the same period of 2003. The increase occurred because of the growth in Consumer Finance operating income, despite the impact of ILFCs disposition of approximately $2 billion in aircraft through securitizations in the third quarter of 2003 and first quarter of 2004 and the reduced income from Capital Markets operations. Fluctuations in revenues and operating income from quarter to quarter are not unusual because of the transaction-oriented nature of Capital Markets operations.
Asset Management
AIGs Asset Management operations provide asset management services and sell GICs. These products and services are offered to individuals and institutions, both domestically and overseas.
Asset Management operating income increased 50.3 percent in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the same period of 2003 as a result of the upturn in worldwide financial markets and a strong global product portfolio.
Capital Resources
At September 30, 2004, AIG had total shareholders equity of $78.90 billion and total borrowings of $90.21 billion. At that date, $81.29 billion of such borrowings were either not guaranteed by AIG or were matched borrowings under obligations of guaranteed investment agreements (GIAs) or matched notes and bonds payable.
During the period from January 1, 2004 through November 5, 2004, AIG repurchased in the open market 13,310,200 shares of its common stock.
Liquidity
At September 30, 2004, AIGs consolidated invested assets included $16.74 billion in cash and short-term investments. Consolidated net cash provided from operating activities in the first nine months of 2004 amounted to $20.43 billion. AIG believes that its liquid assets, cash provided by operations and access to the capital markets will enable it to meet any foreseeable cash requirements.
Outlook
With respect to overall premium rates in the General Insurance business, industry pricing has eroded in some classes of business. Despite this, AIG believes it will still be able to identify profitable opportunities and build attractive new business as a result of AIGs broad product line and extensive distribution reach. Both the Domestic Brokerage Group (DBG) and the Foreign General insurance group are benefitting from the flight to quality. AIG also continues to be able to modify and limit its contractual obligations by adding appropriate exclusions and policy restrictions. AIG expects total premiums to increase in 2004 resulting in positive growth in cash flow for investments. Thus, General Insurance net investment income is expected to rise in future quarters even in the current low interest rate environment.
In October 2003, AIG entered into an agreement with PICC that will enable AIG to market its accident and health products through PICCs 4,300 branch offices throughout China. PICC has over 70 percent of the non-life market in China and AIG expects substantial opportunity for growth through this new distribution channel.
In the Life Insurance & Retirement Services segment, AIG expects overall continued growth through expansion in China, where AIG was the first foreign insurance organization to have wholly owned Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations in eight major cities. AIG expects continued growth in India, Korea and Vietnam as well as in the more established Japan market where retirement services operations have developed quickly.
During the third quarter of 2004, AIG entered into an agreement with Sumitomo to market insurance products underwritten by ALICO in Japan. Sumitomo will initially market ALICOs cancer insurance coverage through the Sumitomo sales channel of approximately 40,000 sales representatives. ALICO and Sumitomo have also agreed to consider expanding the relationship to include other insurance products in the future.
AIG Edison Life was acquired in August of 2003. AIG Edison Life adds to the current agency force in Japan, and provides alternative distribution channels including banks, financial advisers, and corporate and government employee relationships. AIG Edison Lifes integration into AIGs existing Japanese operations will provide future operating efficiencies.
Domestically, AIG expects continued operating growth in 2004 as distribution channels are expanded and new products are introduced.
In the airline industry, changes in market conditions are not immediately apparent in operating results. Lease rates have firmed considerably, as a result of strong demand spurred by the recovering global commercial aviation market, especially in Asia. Sales have begun to increase, and AIG expects them to be even stronger in future periods. Therefore, AIG believes that improvements in that market commencing in 2003 will be gradually reflected in ILFCs results in 2004. In the Capital Markets operations, the integration of AIG
22
Trading Group Inc. and its subsidiaries (AIGTG) into the operations of AIG Financial Products Corp. and its subsidiaries (AIGFP) created operating efficiencies that will continue to be realized and product synergies that should enhance 2004 results, although quarter to quarter variations are to be expected in this transaction-oriented business. AIG also expects increased contributions to Financial Services revenues and income from its consumer finance operations (Consumer Finance) both domestically, as a result of the improving economy, and overseas, as expansion of credit card operations continues and economic conditions improve.
AIG expects its Asset Management operations to continue to benefit from the recovery in the equity markets and global economy. GICs, which are sold domestically and abroad to both institutions and individuals, are written on an opportunistic basis when market conditions are favorable.
AIG has many promising growth initiatives underway around the world in its insurance and other operations. Cooperative agreements such as those in Russia and with PICC and Sumitomo are expected to expand distribution networks for AIGs products and investment opportunities and provide models for future growth.
Recent Developments
As previously disclosed, in early October, AIG was advised by the Staff of the Securities and Exchange Commission that the Staff was considering recommending that the SEC bring a civil action against AIG and AIG Financial Products Corp. (AIGFP) alleging violations of the federal securities laws with respect to the marketing and sale by AIGFP to public companies of certain products involving structured financial transactions, as well as with respect to certain press releases issued by AIG which reported the Staff notification. AIG also reported that AIGFP had been informed by the U.S. Department of Justice that it was a target of an investigation involving possible violations of the federal securities laws with respect to such products. On October 21, 2004, AIG announced that it had been informed by the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana that it was a target of a federal grand jury investigation arising out of a contract between AIGs subsidiary, National Union Fire Insurance Company of Pittsburgh, Pa., and Brightpoint, Inc. that concerns non-traditional insurance or income smoothing products marketed to clients by AIG. On October 25, 2004, AIG announced that it intends to seek a resolution of these matters by reaching a prompt settlement on terms satisfactory to the Government and AIG. AIG is currently discussing proposed settlement terms with the Government, but a settlement has not yet been completed.
As previously disclosed, on October 14, 2004, the New York State Attorney General brought a lawsuit challenging certain insurance brokerage practices related to contingent commissions. Neither AIG nor any of its subsidiaries is a defendant in that action, although two employees of an AIG subsidiary have pleaded guilty in connection with the Attorney Generals investigation. Regulators from several additional states have commenced investigations into the same matters, and AIG expects there will be additional investigations as well. Various parties, including insureds and shareholders, have also asserted putative class action and other claims against AIG or its subsidiaries alleging, among other things, violations of the antitrust and federal securities laws, and AIG expects that additional claims are likely.
Various federal and state regulatory agencies are reviewing certain other transactions and practices of AIG and its subsidiaries in connection with industry-wide and other inquiries.
AIG cannot at this time estimate its potential costs related to these matters and accordingly, no reserve is being established in AIGs financial statements at this time. In the opinion of AIG management, AIGs ultimate liability for the matters referred to above is not likely to have a material adverse effect on AIGs consolidated financial condition, although it is possible that the effect would be material to AIGs consolidated results of operations for an individual quarterly reporting period.
On October 11, 2004, Congress passed the American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 (Jobs Creation Act) and President Bush signed the bill into law on October 22, 2004. The Jobs Creation Act includes a number of provisions that are expected to affect current business practices. For example, the Jobs Creation Act creates a temporary incentive for U.S. multinationals to repatriate certain accumulated income earned abroad by providing a special 85 percent dividends received deduction, subject to specific reinvestment and repatriation guidelines and certain limitations. Companies may elect to take the temporary deduction in 2004 or 2005. AIG believes that the impact of the Jobs Creation Act on its results of operations and financial condition will not be significant.
Critical Accounting Estimates
AIG considers its most critical accounting estimates those with respect to reserves for losses and loss expenses, future policy benefits for life and accident and health contracts, deferred policy acquisition costs, and fair value determinations for certain Capital Markets assets and liabilities. These accounting estimates require the use of assumptions about matters, some of which are highly uncertain at the time of estimation. To the extent actual experience differs from the assumptions used, AIGs results of operations would be directly impacted.
Throughout this Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, AIGs critical accounting estimates are discussed in detail. The major categories for which assumptions are developed and used to
23
establish each critical accounting estimate are highlighted below.
Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses (General Insurance):
| | Loss trend factors: used to establish expected loss ratios for subsequent accident years based on the projected loss ratio with respect to prior accident years. |
| | Expected loss ratios for the latest accident year: for example, accident year 2003 for the year end 2003 loss reserve analysis. For low frequency, high severity classes such as Excess Casualty and Directors and Officers Liability, expected loss ratios generally are utilized for at least the three most recent accident years. |
| | Loss development factors: used to project the reported losses for each accident year to an ultimate amount. |
Future Policy Benefits for Life and Accident and Health Contracts (Life Insurance & Retirement Services):
| | Interest rates: which vary by territory, year of issuance and products. |
| | Mortality, morbidity and surrender rates: based upon actual experience by geographical region modified to allow for variation in policy form. |
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs (General Insurance):
| | Recoverability based upon the current profitability of the underlying insurance contracts. |
Life Insurance & Retirement Services:
| | Estimated gross profits: to be realized over the estimated duration of the contracts (nontraditional life). Estimated gross profits include investment income and gains and losses on investments less required interest, actual mortality and other expenses. |
Fair Value Determinations of Certain Assets and Liabilities (Financial Services Capital Markets):
| | Valuation models: utilizing factors, such as market liquidity and current interest, foreign exchange and volatility rates. |
| | AIG attempts to secure reliable and independent current market price data, such as published exchange rates from external subscription services such as Bloomberg or Reuters or third party broker quotes for use in this model. When such prices are not available, AIG uses an internal methodology, which includes interpolation or extrapolation from verifiable prices from trades occurring on dates nearest to the dates of the transactions. |
Operating Review
General Insurance Operations
AIGs General Insurance subsidiaries are multiple line companies writing substantially all lines of property and casualty insurance both domestically and abroad.
Domestic general insurance operations are comprised of DBG, which includes The Hartford Steam Boiler Inspection and Insurance Company (HSB); Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. (Transatlantic); Personal Lines, including 21st Century Insurance Group (21st Century); and United Guaranty Corporation (Mortgage Guaranty).
DBG is AIGs primary domestic general division. DBG writes substantially all classes of business insurance accepting such business mainly from insurance brokers. This provides DBG the opportunity to select specialized markets and retain underwriting control. Any licensed broker is able to submit business to DBG without the traditional agent-company contractual relationship, but such broker usually has no authority to commit DBG to accept a risk.
Transatlantic offers, through its reinsurance company subsidiaries, reinsurance capacity, both domestically and overseas, on a treaty and facultative basis for a full range of property and casualty products.
Personal Lines engages in the mass marketing of personal lines insurance, primarily private passenger auto and personal umbrella coverages, as well as providing comprehensive insurance coverage to high net-worth households through its Private Client Group.
Mortgage Guaranty provides guaranty insurance to mortgage providers primarily with respect to conventional first mortgage loans on single family dwellings and condominiums. During 2003, Mortgage Guaranty commenced providing guaranty insurance to providers of student loans.
AIGs Foreign General insurance group accepts risks primarily underwritten through AIU, a marketing unit consisting of wholly owned agencies and insurance entities. The Foreign General insurance group also includes business written by AIGs foreign-based insurance subsidiaries for their own accounts. (See also Note 2 of Notes to Financial Statements.)
As previously noted, AIG believes it should present and discuss its financial information in a manner most meaningful to its investors. Accordingly, in its General Insurance business, AIG uses certain non-GAAP measures, where AIG has determined these measurements to be useful and meaningful.
A critical discipline of a successful general insurance business is the objective to produce operating income from underwriting exclusive of investment related income. When underwriting is not profitable, premiums are inadequate to pay for insured losses and underwriting related expenses. In these situations, the addition of general insurance related investment income and realized capital gains may, however, enable a general insurance business to produce operating income. If underwriting losses persist over extended periods, an insurance company will likely not continue to exist as a going concern. For these reasons, AIG views underwriting profit to be critical in the overall evaluation of performance. Although in and of itself not a GAAP measurement, AIG believes this
24
measurement is a useful and meaningful disclosure. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
General Insurance operating income is comprised of underwriting profit, net investment income and realized capital gains and losses. These components, as well as net premiums written, net premiums earned and statutory ratios for the nine months ending September 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:
| (in millions, except ratios) | 2004 | 2003 | ||||||||
|
Net premiums written:
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic General
|
||||||||||
|
DBG
|
$ | 17,546 | $ | 14,734 | ||||||
|
Transatlantic
|
2,822 | 2,472 | ||||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
3,288 | 2,704 | ||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
453 | 390 | ||||||||
|
Foreign General
|
7,214 | 5,753 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 31,323 | $ | 26,053 | ||||||
|
Net premiums earned:
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic General
|
||||||||||
|
DBG
|
$ | 16,247 | $ | 12,829 | ||||||
|
Transatlantic
|
2,729 | 2,319 | ||||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
3,175 | 2,644 | ||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
398 | 365 | ||||||||
|
Foreign General
|
6,500 | 5,175 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 29,049 | $ | 23,332 | ||||||
|
Underwriting profit (loss):
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic General
|
||||||||||
|
DBG(a)
|
$ | 456 | $ | 721 | ||||||
|
Transatlantic(a)
|
(46 | ) | 75 | |||||||
|
Personal Lines(a)
|
115 | 73 | ||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
207 | 208 | ||||||||
|
Foreign General(a)
|
635 | 593 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 1,367 | $ | 1,670 | ||||||
|
Net investment income:
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic General
|
||||||||||
|
DBG
|
$ | 1,689 | $ | 1,296 | ||||||
|
Transatlantic
|
220 | 202 | ||||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
135 | 100 | ||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
89 | 111 | ||||||||
|
Intercompany adjustments and
eliminations net
|
| 5 | ||||||||
|
Foreign General
|
485 | 543 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 2,618 | $ | 2,257 | ||||||
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
19 | (331 | ) | |||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 4,004 | $ | 3,596 | ||||||
|
Domestic General:
|
||||||||||
|
Loss Ratio
|
79.87 | 77.55 | ||||||||
|
Expense Ratio
|
17.25 | 16.69 | ||||||||
|
Combined Ratio
|
97.12 | 94.24 | ||||||||
|
Foreign General:
|
||||||||||
|
Loss Ratio
|
61.04 | 60.94 | ||||||||
|
Expense Ratio
|
27.68 | 26.87 | ||||||||
|
Combined ratio
|
88.72 | 87.81 | ||||||||
|
Consolidated:
|
||||||||||
|
Loss Ratio(b)
|
75.65 | 73.87 | ||||||||
|
Expense Ratio
|
19.65 | 18.94 | ||||||||
|
Combined Ratio
|
95.30 | 92.81 | ||||||||
| (a) | Catastrophe losses for the first nine months of 2004 by segment were: DBG $406 million, Personal Lines $25 million, Transatlantic $165 million and Foreign General $140 million. Catastrophe losses for the first nine months of 2003 by segment were: DBG $48 million, Personal Lines $5 million, Transatlantic $4 million and Foreign General $16 million. |
| (b) | The impact of catastrophe losses on the loss ratio was an increase of 2.53 in 2004 and 0.31 in 2003. |
General Insurance Results
Net premiums written are initially deferred and earned based upon the terms of the underlying policies. The net unearned premium reserve constitutes deferred revenues which are generally earned ratably over the policy period. Thus, the net unearned premium reserve is not fully recognized in income as net premiums earned until the end of the policy period.
DBG has maintained a disciplined approach to pricing and risk selection and chose not to renew approximately $207 million in premiums in the third quarter of 2004 where pricing, terms and conditions or loss experience did not meet underwriting standards. Like all AIG companies, DBG is benefiting from the flight to quality, a strong profit center focus and growing distribution channels. Overall, DBGs net premiums written increased in the first nine months of 2004 over 2003. AIG believes that moderate premium rate increases will continue in 2004 particularly with respect to long tail lines of business where the insurers stability is critical to the insured. Based on historical patterns, AIG believes that overall growth in net premiums written will slow as competition for premiums increases in certain lines of business.
Transatlantic net premiums written increased as a result of growth in its international business.
Personal Lines net premiums written in the first nine months of 2004 include $301 million from the domestic insurance operations of GE that were acquired in August of 2003. The increase in net premiums written apart from this acquisition resulted from increased marketing efforts as well as rate increases in several states. The increase in underwriting profits in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the same period of 2003 resulted from premium rate increases and growth in net premiums written and earned. Underwriting profits are expected to continue to increase through 2004 as a result of continued marketing efforts, loss cost stabilization and the full year impact of the acquisition.
Mortgage Guaranty net premiums written increased 16.1 percent in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the same period of 2003. Premiums grew and refinancings declined as interest rates rose. This growth was offset by a slight increase in the delinquency ratio, which is still below the industry average. UGC is moving forward with plans to enter new markets around the world.
Foreign General insurance net premiums written growth was due to premium rate increases as well as flight to quality. Every major region of the worldwide network contributed to this performance. The Far East region had excellent growth. In Japan, corporate and personal accident business expanded. Commercial lines in Europe continue to exhibit strong growth, as did AIGs personal lines operations in Brazil and
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Latin America. Additionally, AIGs joint venture in India has expanded its commercial lines leadership among the private sector companies.
In comparing the foreign currency exchange rates used to translate the results of AIGs Foreign General operations during the first nine months of 2004 to those foreign currency exchange rates used to translate AIGs Foreign General results during the same period of 2003, the U.S. dollar weakened slightly in value in relation to most major foreign currencies in which AIG transacts business. Accordingly, when foreign net premiums written were translated into U.S. dollars for the purposes of the preparation of the consolidated financial statements, total General Insurance net premiums written were approximately 2.3 percentage points more than they would have been if translated utilizing those foreign currency exchange rates which prevailed during the same period of 2003.
AIG, along with most General Insurance entities, uses the loss ratio, the expense ratio and the combined ratio as measures of performance. The loss ratio is the sum of losses and loss expenses incurred divided by net premiums earned. The expense ratio is statutory underwriting expenses divided by net premiums written. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio. These ratios are relative measurements that describe for every $100 of net premiums earned or written, the cost of losses and statutory expenses, respectively. The combined ratio presents the total cost per $100 of premium production. A combined ratio below 100 demonstrates underwriting profit; a combined ratio above 100 demonstrates underwriting loss.
Underwriting profit is measured in two ways: statutory underwriting profit and Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) underwriting profit.
Statutory underwriting profit is arrived at by reducing net premiums earned by net losses and loss expenses incurred and net expenses incurred. Statutory accounting generally requires immediate expense recognition and ignores the matching of revenues and expenses as required by GAAP. That is, for statutory purposes, expenses are recognized immediately, not over the same period that the revenues are earned.
A basic premise of GAAP accounting is the recognition of expenses at the same time revenues are earned, the accounting principle of matching. Therefore, to convert underwriting results to a GAAP basis, acquisition expenses are deferred (deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC)) and amortized over the period the related net premiums written are earned. Accordingly, the statutory underwriting profit has been adjusted as a result of acquisition expenses being deferred as required by GAAP. DAC is reviewed for recoverability and such review requires management judgment. (See also Critical Accounting Estimates herein.)
The underwriting environment varies from country to country, as does the degree of litigation activity. Regulation, product type and competition have a direct impact on pricing and consequently on profitability as reflected in underwriting profit and statutory general insurance ratios.
AIGs General Insurance results reflect the impact of incurred losses from catastrophes of $736 million and $73 million, in the first nine months and third quarter of 2004 and 2003, respectively. The impact of losses caused by catastrophes can fluctuate widely from year to year, making comparisons of recurring type business more difficult. With respect to catastrophe losses, AIG believes that it has taken appropriate steps, such as careful exposure selection and obtaining reinsurance coverage, to reduce the impact of the magnitude of possible future losses. The occurrence of one or more catastrophic events of unanticipated frequency or severity, such as a terrorist attack, earthquake or hurricane, that causes insured losses, however, could have a material adverse effect on AIGs results of operations, liquidity or financial condition.
General Insurance net investment income grew in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the same period of 2003. AIG is benefiting from the strong cash flow of the past two years, higher interest rates, dividend income and good private equity results. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
Realized capital gains and losses resulted from the ongoing investment management of the General Insurance portfolios within the overall objectives of the General Insurance operations. The realized capital gains in the first nine months of 2004 reflect an improved economy, stronger corporate balance sheets and a significantly lower level of impairments. The realized capital losses in the first nine months of 2003 reflect primarily impairment loss provisions for both equity and fixed income holdings. (See the discussion on Valuation of Invested Assets herein.)
The increase in General Insurance operating income in the first nine months of 2004 was primarily attributable to strong profitable growth in DBG operations, the improvement in net investment income and the capital gains realized in 2004 rather than the capital losses realized in 2003.
The contribution of General Insurance operating income to AIGs consolidated income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change was 31.7 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared to 36.5 percent in the same period of 2003. The decrease in contribution percentage in 2004 was influenced by the impact of the catastrophe losses.
Reinsurance
AIG is a major purchaser of reinsurance for its General Insurance operations. AIG is cognizant of the need to exercise good judgment in the selection and approval of both domestic and foreign companies participating in its reinsurance pro-
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grams. AIG insures risks globally and its reinsurance programs must be coordinated in order to provide AIG the level of reinsurance protection that AIG desires. AIG purchases reinsurance to mitigate its catastrophic exposure. However, one or more catastrophe losses could negatively impact AIGs reinsurers and result in an inability of AIG to collect reinsurance recoverables. AIGs reinsurance department evaluates catastrophic events and assesses the probability of occurrence and magnitude of catastrophic events through the use of state of the art industry recognized program models, among other techniques. AIG supplements these models through continually monitoring the risk exposure of AIGs worldwide general insurance operations and adjusting such models accordingly. While reinsurance arrangements do not relieve AIG from its direct obligations to its insureds, an efficient and effective reinsurance program substantially limits AIGs probable losses.
AIGs consolidated general reinsurance assets amounted to $25.44 billion at September 30, 2004 and resulted from AIGs reinsurance arrangements. Thus, a credit exposure existed at September 30, 2004 with respect to reinsurance recoverable to the extent that any reinsurer may not be able to reimburse AIG under the terms of these reinsurance arrangements. AIG manages its credit risk in its reinsurance relationships by transacting with reinsurers that it considers financially sound, and when necessary AIG holds substantial collateral in the form of funds, securities and/or irrevocable letters of credit. This collateral can be drawn on for amounts that remain unpaid beyond specified time periods on an individual reinsurer basis. At December 31, 2003, approximately 47 percent of the general reinsurance assets were from unauthorized reinsurers. In order to obtain statutory recognition, the majority of these balances were collateralized. The remaining 53 percent of the general reinsurance assets were from authorized reinsurers. The terms authorized and unauthorized pertain to regulatory categories, not creditworthiness. Approximately 90 percent of the balances with respect to authorized reinsurers are from reinsurers rated A (excellent) or better, as rated by A.M. Best, or A (strong) or better, as rated by Standard & Poors. Through September 30, 2004, these distribution percentages have not changed significantly. This rating is a measure of financial strength.
AIG maintains an allowance for estimated unrecoverable reinsurance and has been largely successful in its previous recovery efforts. AIGs allowance for estimated unrecoverable reinsurance approximated $140 million as of September 30, 2004. At that date, AIG had no significant reinsurance recoverables from any individual reinsurer which is financially troubled (e.g., liquidated, insolvent, in receivership or otherwise subject to formal or informal regulatory restriction).
AIGs Reinsurance Security Department conducts ongoing detailed assessments of the reinsurance markets and current and potential reinsurers, both foreign and domestic. Such assessments include, but are not limited to, identifying if a reinsurer is appropriately licensed, and has sufficient financial capacity, and the local economic environment in which a foreign reinsurer operates. This department also reviews the nature of the risks ceded and the need for collateral. For example, in AIGs treaty reinsurance contracts, AIG includes credit triggers that require a reinsurer to post collateral when a referenced event occurs. Such credit triggers include, but are not limited to, insurer financial strength rating downgrades, policyholder surplus declines at or below a certain predetermined level or a certain predetermined level of a reinsurance recoverable being reached. In addition, AIGs Credit Risk Committee reviews the credit limits for and concentrations with any one reinsurer.
AIG enters into certain intercompany reinsurance transactions for its general and life operations. AIG enters these transactions as a sound and prudent business practice in order to maintain underwriting control and spread insurance risk among various legal entities. These reinsurance agreements have been approved by the appropriate regulatory authorities. All material intercompany transactions have been eliminated in consolidation.
At September 30, 2004, the consolidated general reinsurance assets of $25.44 billion include reinsurance recoverables for paid losses and loss expenses of $3.22 billion and $18.33 billion with respect to the ceded reserve for losses and loss expenses, including ceded losses incurred but not reported (IBNR) (ceded reserves). The ceded reserves represent the accumulation of estimates of ultimate ceded losses including provisions for ceded IBNR and loss expenses. The methods used to determine such estimates and to establish the resulting ceded reserves are continually reviewed and updated by management. Any adjustments thereto are reflected in income currently. It is AIGs belief that the ceded reserves at September 30, 2004 were representative of the ultimate losses recoverable. In the future, as the ceded reserves continue to develop to ultimate amounts, the ultimate loss recoverable may be greater or less than the reserves currently ceded.
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Reserve for Losses and Loss Expenses
The table below classifies as of September 30, 2004 the components of the General Insurance reserve for losses and loss expenses (loss reserves) with respect to major lines of business on a statutory basis*:
| (in millions) | ||||
|
Other Liability Occurrence
|
$ | 15,602 | ||
|
Other Liability Claims Made
|
11,040 | |||
|
Workers Compensation
|
8,387 | |||
|
Auto Liability
|
5,516 | |||
|
International
|
3,216 | |||
|
Property
|
4,260 | |||
|
Reinsurance
|
2,542 | |||
|
Medical Malpractice
|
2,196 | |||
|
Aircraft
|
1,690 | |||
|
Products Liability
|
1,336 | |||
|
Accident and Health
|
1,120 | |||
|
Fidelity/ Surety
|
974 | |||
|
Other
|
4,271 | |||
|
Total
|
$ | 62,150 | ||
| * | Presented pursuant to statutory reporting requirements as prescribed by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. |
These loss reserves represent the accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses, including IBNR and loss expenses.
At September 30, 2004, General Insurance net loss reserves increased $7.17 billion from the prior year end to $43.82 billion. In the first nine months of 2004, net adverse reported loss development for the prior accident years was estimated to be approximately $700 million. The net loss reserves represent loss reserves reduced by reinsurance recoverables, net of an allowance for unrecoverable reinsurance. The methods used to determine such estimates and to establish the resulting reserves are continually reviewed and updated by management. Any adjustments resulting therefrom are reflected in operating income currently. It is managements belief that the General Insurance net loss reserves are adequate to cover all General Insurance net losses and loss expenses as of September 30, 2004. While AIG annually reviews the adequacy of established loss reserves, there can be no assurance that AIGs ultimate loss reserves will not adversely develop and materially exceed AIGs loss reserves as of September 30, 2004. In the future, if the general insurance net loss reserves develop deficiently, such deficiency would have an adverse impact on future results of operations.
In a very broad sense, the General Insurance loss reserves can be categorized into two distinct groups, one group being long tail casualty lines of business. Such lines include excess and umbrella liability, directors and officers liability, professional liability, medical malpractice, general liability, products liability, and related classes. The other group is short tail lines of business consisting principally of property lines, personal lines and certain classes of casualty lines.
For operations writing short tail coverages, such as property coverages, the process of recording quarterly loss reserve changes is geared toward maintaining an appropriate reserve level for the outstanding exposure, rather than determining an expected loss ratio for current business. For example, the IBNR reserve required for a class of property business might be expected to approximate 20 percent of the latest years earned premiums, and this level of reserve would be maintained regardless of the loss ratio emerging in the current quarter. The 20 percent factor is adjusted to reflect changes in rate levels, loss reporting patterns, known exposures to large unreported losses, or other factors affecting the particular class of business.
Estimation of ultimate net losses and loss expenses (net losses) for long tail casualty lines of business is a complex process and depends on a number of factors, including the line and volume of the business involved. Experience in the more recent accident years of long tail casualty lines shows limited statistical credibility in reported net losses. That is, a relatively low proportion of net losses would be reported claims and expenses and an even smaller proportion would be net losses paid. A relatively high proportion of net losses would therefore be IBNR.
AIGs carried net long tail loss reserves are tested using loss trend factors that AIG considers most appropriate for each class of business. A variety of actuarial methods and assumptions are normally employed to estimate net losses for long tail casualty lines. These methods ordinarily involve the use of loss trend factors intended to reflect the estimated annual growth in loss costs from one accident year to the next. For the majority of long tail casualty lines, net loss trend factors approximated six percent. Loss trend factors reflect many items including changes in claims handling, exposure and policy forms; current and future estimates of monetary inflation and social inflation and increases in litigation and awards. These factors are periodically reviewed and subsequently adjusted, as appropriate, to reflect emerging trends which are based upon past loss experience. Thus, many factors are implicitly considered in estimating the year to year growth in loss costs recognized.
A number of actuarial assumptions are made in the review of reserves for each line of business.
For longer tail lines of business, actuarial assumptions generally are made with respect to the following:
| | Loss trend factors which are used to establish expected loss ratios for subsequent accident years based on the projected loss ratio for prior accident years. |
| | Expected loss ratios for the latest accident year (i.e., accident year 2003 for the year end 2003 loss reserve analysis) and in some cases, for accident years prior to the latest accident year. The expected loss ratio generally reflects the projected loss ratio from prior accident years, adjusted for the loss trend (See above) and the impact of rate changes and other quantifiable factors. For low-frequency, high severity classes such as Excess Casualty and Directors and Officers Liability (D&O), expected loss ratios generally are utilized for at least the three most recent accident years. |
28
| | Loss development factors which are used to project the reported losses for each accident year to an ultimate basis. |
AIG records quarterly changes in loss reserves for each of its many General Insurance profit centers. The overall change in AIGs loss reserves is based on the sum of these profit center level changes. For most profit centers which write longer tail classes of casualty coverage, the process of recording quarterly loss reserve changes involves determining the estimated current loss ratio for each class of coverage. This loss ratio is multiplied by the current quarters net earned premium for that class of coverage to determine the quarters total estimated net incurred loss and loss expense. The change in loss reserves for the quarter for each class is thus the difference between the net incurred loss and loss expense, estimated as described above, and the net paid losses and loss expenses in the quarter.
The process of determining the current loss ratio for each class or business segment begins in the profit centers in the latter part of the previous year. The loss ratios determined for each profit center are based on a variety of factors. These include, but are not limited to, the following considerations: prior accident year and policy year loss ratios; actual and anticipated rate changes; actual and anticipated changes in coverage, reinsurance, or mix of business; actual and anticipated changes in external factors impacting results, such as trends in loss costs or in the legal and claims environment. Each profit centers loss ratio for the following year is subject to review by the profit centers management, by actuarial and accounting staffs, and ultimately by senior management. At the close of each quarter, the assumptions underlying the loss ratios are reviewed to determine if the loss ratios based thereon remain appropriate. This process includes a review of the actual claims experience in the quarter, actual rate changes achieved, actual changes in coverage, reinsurance or mix of business, and changes in certain other factors that may affect the loss ratio. When this review suggests that the initially determined loss ratio is no longer appropriate, the loss ratio for current business would be changed to reflect the revised assumptions.
A comprehensive annual loss reserve review is conducted in the fourth quarter of each year for each AIG General Insurance subsidiary. These reviews are conducted in full detail for each class or line of business for each subsidiary, and thus consist of literally hundreds of individual analyses. The purpose of these reviews is to confirm the reasonableness of the reserves carried by each of the individual subsidiaries, and thereby of AIGs overall carried reserves. The reserve analysis for each business class is performed by the actuarial personnel who are most familiar with that class of business. In completing these detailed actuarial reserve analyses, the actuaries are required to make numerous assumptions, including for example the selection of loss development factors and loss cost trend factors. They are also required to determine and select the most appropriate actuarial method(s) to employ for each business class. Additionally, they must determine the appropriate segmentation of data or segments from which the adequacy of the reserves can be most accurately tested. In the course of these detailed reserve reviews for each business segment, a point estimate of the loss reserve is generally determined. The sum of these point estimates for each of the individual business classes for each subsidiary provides an overall actuarial point estimate of the loss reserve for that subsidiary. The overall actuarial point estimate is compared to the subsidiarys carried loss reserve. If the carried reserve can be supported by actuarial methods and assumptions which are also believed to be reasonable, then the carried reserve would generally be considered reasonable and no adjustment would be considered. The ultimate process by which the actual carried reserves are determined considers not only the actuarial point estimate but a myriad of other factors. Other crucial internal and external factors considered include a qualitative assessment of inflation and other economic conditions in the United States and abroad, changes in the legal, regulatory, judicial and social environments, underlying policy pricing, terms and conditions, and claims handling.
With respect to the 2003 year-end actuarial loss reserve analysis for DBG, the actuaries continued to utilize the modified assumptions which gave additional weight to actual loss development from the more recent years, as identified during the 2002 analysis, with appropriate adjustments to account for the additional year of loss experience which emerged in 2003. Although the actuaries continued to use actuarial assumptions that rely on expected loss ratios based on the results of prior accident years, the expected loss ratio assumptions used gave far greater weight to the more recent accident year experience than was the case in the prior year-end assumptions. No weight was given to the more favorable experience of accident years prior to 1997. Additionally, the actuaries modified their loss cost trend assumptions to reflect the emerging experience from the recent accident years. For example, in setting the expected loss ratios for accident years 2001, 2002 and 2003 for the excess casualty lead umbrella class, the actuaries gave 100 percent weight to the results of the 1997 through 2000 accident years only, giving no weight to the more favorable development of accident years prior to 1997. In addition, they continued to utilize the 7.5 percent annual loss cost trend factor.
Loss development trends for long tail lines such as Excess Casualty and D&O, however, have not followed any consistent trend. This has at times led to overstated loss ratio projections and is a key reason why the actuaries have customarily utilized the historical projection method, which gave more weight to the experience of older, more mature accident years. For long tail lines, judgment is required in analyzing the appropriate weighting of current trends to avoid overreacting to data anomalies that may distort such current trends. Given the accuracy of the historical approach and the uncertainty of the more recent trends, AIG management decided to give approximately equal weight to the point estimate of the required reserve resulting from the historical
29
assumptions and the point estimate of the required reserve from the modified assumptions described above in determining the actual loss reserve carried at year-end 2003.
AIG does not believe disclosure of specific point estimates calculated by the actuaries would be meaningful. As described more fully below, considerable judgment is required in evaluating loss trends and developments for all classes of business, particularly long tailed lines. Any one actuarial point estimate is based on a particular series of judgments and assumptions of the actuary. Another actuary may give different weights or make different assumptions, and therefore reach a different point estimate. So long as the series of judgments and assumptions are reasonable, no one such point estimate is necessarily a better estimate than another point estimate. Point estimates are used to independently re-affirm the reasonableness of the overall carried reserves. Thus, provided the actuaries confirm the overall reasonableness of AIGs loss and loss expense liabilities, AIG believes that disclosure of such point estimates would not be helpful and in fact could potentially be misleading. Nevertheless, in the interest of comprehensive disclosure, but taking into consideration the reservations AIG management has expressed with respect to the meaningfulness of disclosure of point estimates, the actual loss reserve carried at year-end 2003 for AIGs overall General Insurance business was approximately 4 percent greater than the aggregate reserve indicated by the actuarial point estimates, including the historical assumptions as described above and was approximately 2 percent less than the aggregate reserve indicated by the actuarial point estimates utilizing the modified assumptions.
AIGs annual loss reserve does not calculate a range of loss reserve estimates. Because AIGs General Insurance business is primarily in long tail casualty lines driven almost entirely by severity rather than frequency of claims, developing a range around loss reserve estimates would not be meaningful. An estimate is calculated which AIGs actuaries believe provides a reasonable estimate of the required reserve. This amount is evaluated against actual carried reserves.
There is a potential for significant variation in the developing loss reserves, particularly for long tail classes of business such as excess casualty, when actual costs differ from the assumptions used to test the reserves. For the excess casualty class of business, a 5 percent change in the assumed loss cost trend from each accident year to the next would cause approximately a $400 million impact (either positively or negatively) to the net loss and loss expense reserve for this business. For the D&O and related management liability classes of business, a 5 percent change in the assumed loss cost trend would also cause approximately a $400 million impact (either positively or negatively) to the net loss and loss expense reserve for such business. For healthcare liability business, including hospitals and other healthcare exposures, the 5 percent change in the assumed loss cost trend would cause approximately a $100 million impact (either positively or negatively) to the loss and loss expense reserve for this business. Actual loss cost trends in the early 1990s were negative for these classes, whereas in the late 1990s loss costs trends ran well into the double digits for each of these three classes. The sharp increase in loss costs in the late 1990s was thus much greater than the 5 percent changes cited above, and caused significant increases in the overall loss reserve needs for these classes. While changes in the loss cost trend assumptions can result in a significant impact on the reserve needs for other smaller classes of liability business, the potential impact of these changes on AIGs overall carried reserves would be much less than for the classes noted above.
For the excess casualty class, if future loss development factors differed by 5 percent from those utilized in the year-end 2003 loss reserve review, there would be approximately a $400 million impact on the overall AIG loss reserve position. The comparable impact on the D&O and related management liability classes would be approximately $200 million if future loss development factors differed by 5 percent from those utilized in the year-end 2003 loss reserve review. For healthcare liability classes, the impact would be approximately $100 million. For workers compensation reserves, the impact of a 5 percent deviation from the loss development factors utilized in the year-end 2003 reserve reviews would be approximately $600 million (either positively or negatively). Because loss development factors for this class have shown less volatility than higher severity classes such as excess casualty, however, actual changes in loss development factors are expected to be less than 5 percent. There is some degree of volatility in loss development patterns for other longer tail liability classes as well. However, the potential impact on AIGs reserves would be much less than for the classes cited above.
AIG management believes that using a 5 percent change in the assumptions for loss cost trends and loss development factors provides a reasonable estimate of the impact on the reserves of a common or normal potential deviation for AIGs most significant lines of general insurance business. For excess casualty business, both the loss cost trend and the loss development factor assumptions are critical. Generally, actual historical loss development factors are used to project future loss development. However, there can be no assurance that future loss development patterns will be the same as in the past. Moreover, as excess casualty is a long tail class of business, any deviation in loss cost trends or in loss development factors might not be discernible for an extended period of time subsequent to the recording of the initial loss reserve estimates for any accident year. Thus, there is the potential for the reserves with respect to a number of accident years to be significantly impacted by changes in the loss cost trends or loss development factors that were initially relied upon in setting the reserves. These changes in loss trends or loss development factors could be attributable to changes in inflation or in the judicial environment, or in other social or economic
30
phenomena impacting claims. For example, during the lengthy periods during which losses develop for excess casualty, actual changes in loss costs from one accident year to the next have ranged from negative values to double-digit amounts. Thus the 5 percent sensitivity indicator is considered an appropriate estimate of a common or normal deviation for excess casualty. Likewise, in the judgment of AIGs actuaries, an annual 5 percent potential deviation in loss development factors is reasonable based upon historical development.
For D&O and related management liability classes of business, the loss cost trend assumption is critical. The loss development factor assumption is important but less critical than for excess casualty. As this coverage is written on a claims made basis, claims for a given accident year are all reported within that year. Therefore, the potential for significantly unusual loss development patterns generally exists only for several years. Actual changes in loss costs from one accident year to the next in the 1990s ranged from negative values to double-digit amounts. Thus the 5 percent sensitivity indicator is a reasonable estimate of a common or normal potential deviation. A 5 percent deviation in loss development factors is also considered reasonable for these classes. However, as noted above, the dollar impact of such a deviation is less than that of a similar deviation in loss cost trends.
For healthcare liability classes, both the loss cost trend and the loss development factor assumptions are critical. The nature of the potential volatility would be analogous to that described above for the excess casualty business. However, AIGs volume of business in the healthcare classes is much smaller than for excess casualty, hence the potential dollar impact on AIGs overall reserves is smaller for these classes than for excess casualty. AIGs healthcare liability business includes both primary and excess exposures.
For workers compensation, the loss development factor assumptions are important. Generally, AIGs actual historical workers compensation loss development would be expected to provide a reasonably accurate predictor of future loss development. A 5 percent sensitivity indicator for workers compensation would thus be considered to be toward the high end of potential deviations for this class of business. AIGs workers compensation reserves include a small portion relating to excess workers compensation coverage. The analysis applicable to excess casualty would apply to these reserves. However, the volume of such business is de minimis compared to that for excess casualty. The loss cost trend assumption for workers compensation is not believed to be material with respect to AIGs loss reserves other than for that portion representing excess workers compensation. This is primarily because AIGs actuaries are generally able to use loss development projections for all but the most recent accident years reserves, so there is limited need to rely on loss cost trend assumptions for workers compensation business.
For casualty business other than the classes noted above, there is generally some potential for deviation in both the loss cost trend and loss development factor selections. However, the impact of such deviations would not be material when compared to the impact cited above for excess casualty and directors and officers liability.
Asbestos and Environmental Reserves
AIG continues to receive claims asserting injuries from toxic waste, hazardous substances, and other environmental pollutants and alleged damages to cover the cleanup costs of hazardous waste dump sites, referred to collectively as environmental claims, and indemnity claims asserting injuries from asbestos.
The vast majority of these asbestos and environmental claims emanate from policies written in 1984 and prior years. Commencing in 1985, standard policies contained an absolute exclusion for pollution related damage and an absolute asbestos exclusion was also implemented. However, AIG currently underwrites environmental impairment liability insurance on a claims made basis and has excluded such claims from the analysis herein.
The majority of AIGs exposures for asbestos and environmental claims are excess casualty coverages, not primary coverages. Thus, the litigation costs are treated in the same manner as indemnity reserves. That is, litigation expenses are included within the limits of the liability AIG incurs. Individual significant claim liabilities, where future litigation costs are reasonably determinable, are established on a case basis.
Estimation of asbestos and environmental claims loss reserves is a complex process. These asbestos and environmental claims cannot be estimated by AIG using conventional reserving techniques as previously described. Significant factors which affect the trends that influence the asbestos and environmental claims estimation process are the inconsistent court resolutions and judicial interpretations which broaden the intent of the policies and scope of coverage. The current case law can be characterized as still evolving and there is little likelihood that any firm direction will develop in the near future. Additionally, the exposure for cleanup costs of hazardous waste dump sites involve issues such as allocation of responsibility among potentially responsible parties and the governments refusal to release parties.
Due to this uncertainty, it is not possible to determine the future development of asbestos and environmental claims with the same degree of reliability as is with other types of claims. Such future development will be affected by the extent to which courts continue to expand the intent of the policies and the scope of the coverage, as they have in the past, as well as by the changes in Superfund and waste dump site coverage issues. AIG and other industry members will continue to litigate the broadening judicial interpretation of the policy coverage and the liability issues.
Although the estimated liabilities with respect to asbestos and environmental reserves are subject to a significantly
31
greater margin of error than for other loss reserves, the asbestos and environmental reserves carried at the balance sheet date are believed to be adequate as these reserves are based on the known facts and current law. Furthermore, as AIGs net exposure retained relative to the gross exposure written was lower in 1984 and prior years, the potential impact of these claims is much smaller on the net loss reserves than on the gross loss reserves. However, if the asbestos and environmental reserves develop deficiently, such deficiency would have an adverse impact on future results of operations. (See the previous discussion on reinsurance collectibility herein.) AIG does not discount its asbestos and environmental reserves.
With respect to known asbestos and environmental claims, AIG established over a decade ago specialized toxic tort and environmental claims units, which investigate and adjust all such asbestos and environmental claims. These units evaluate these asbestos and environmental claims utilizing a comprehensive ground up approach on a claim-by-claim basis. The asbestos and environmental claims are reserved to ultimate probable loss based upon known facts, current law, jurisdiction, policy language and other factors. Each claim is reviewed at least semi-annually utilizing the aforementioned approach and adjusted as necessary to reflect the current information.
In both the specialized and dedicated asbestos and environmental claims units, AIG actively manages and pursues early settlement with respect to these claims thereby reducing its exposure to the unpredictable development of these claims.
With respect to asbestos claims reserves, AIG has resolved all claims with respect to miners and major manufacturers (Tier 1), and payments have been completed or reserves are established to cover future payment obligations. Asbestos claims with respect to products containing asbestos (Tier 2), are generally very mature losses, and have been appropriately recognized and reserved by AIGs asbestos claims operation. AIG believes that the vast majority of the incoming claims with respect to products containing small amounts of asbestos, companies in the distribution chain and parties with remote, ill-defined involvement with asbestos (Tier 3 and 4), should not impact its coverage. This is due to a combination of factors, including peripheral companies increasingly being named in asbestos litigation, smaller limits issued to peripheral defendants, tenuous liability cases against peripheral defendants, attachment points of the excess policies, and the manner in which resolution of these weaker cases would be allocated among all insurers, including non-AIG companies, over a long period of time.
AIG believes the majority of its known long tail environmental exposures have been resolved utilizing a combination of pro-active claim-handling techniques including policy buybacks, complete environmental releases, compromise settlements, and, where indicated, litigation. Current and new claims are generally cases of declining severity. Strong coverage defenses (including late notice) and stronger liability defenses are among the factors contributing to declining severity.
In order to test the overall reasonableness of the asbestos and environmental reserves established using the ground up approach, AIG uses primarily two methods, the market share method and the frequency/ severity method. The market share method produces indicated asbestos and environmental reserves needs by applying the appropriate AIG company market share to estimated potential industry ultimate loss and loss expenses based on the latest estimates from A.M. Best and Tillinghast.
The second method, the frequency/ severity approach, utilizes current information as the basis of an analysis that predicts for each of the next ten years a number with respect to future expected environmental claims and the average severity of each. The estimated trend in frequency is based upon assumptions judged by AIG to be the most reasonable. The trend in severity starts with severities based on current actual average severity using the varying case adequacy assumptions and trending forward under assumptions deemed most reasonable by AIG. A similar frequency/ severity analysis is also performed for asbestos. However, future asbestos claims (IBNR) are projected for each of the next twenty years.
AIGs net carried asbestos and environmental reserves are approximately $25 million greater than the mean indication of the reserves calculated using the market share method, and approximately $50 million less than the median indication of the reserves calculated using the frequency/ severity approach to test the reserves. Thus, based on these alternative tests, AIG deems its carried reserves to be reasonable as of December 31, 2003.
Quantitative techniques frequently have to be supplemented by subjective consideration, including managerial judgment, to assure management satisfaction that the overall reserves are adequate to meet projected losses.
32
A summary of reserve activity, including estimates for applicable IBNR, relating to asbestos and environmental claims separately and combined for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 follows:
| 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||
|
Asbestos:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning
of year
|
$ | 1,235 | $ | 386 | $ | 1,304 | $ | 400 | ||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred*
|
222 | 75 | 163 | 54 | ||||||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses paid*
|
(228 | ) | (82 | ) | (224 | ) | (55 | ) | ||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of
period
|
$ | 1,229 | $ | 379 | $ | 1,243 | $ | 399 | ||||||||
|
Environmental:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning
of year
|
$ | 789 | $ | 283 | $ | 832 | $ | 296 | ||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred*
|
68 | 21 | 131 | 30 | ||||||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses paid*
|
(107 | ) | (48 | ) | (92 | ) | (35 | ) | ||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of
period
|
$ | 750 | $ | 256 | $ | 871 | $ | 291 | ||||||||
|
Combined:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning
of year
|
$ | 2,024 | $ | 669 | $ | 2,136 | $ | 696 | ||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred*
|
290 | 96 | 294 | 84 | ||||||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses paid*
|
(335 | ) | (130 | ) | (316 | ) | (90 | ) | ||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of
period
|
$ | 1,979 | $ | 635 | $ | 2,114 | $ | 690 | ||||||||
| * | All amounts pertain to policies underwritten in prior years. |
The gross and net IBNR included in the reserve for losses and loss expenses at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003 were estimated as follows:
| 2004 | 2003 | |||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||
|
Combined
|
$ | 1,099 | $ | 298 | $ | 1,042 | $ | 280 | ||||||||
A summary of asbestos and environmental claims count activity for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 was as follows:
| 2004 | 2003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos | Environmental | Combined | Asbestos | Environmental | Combined | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
Claims at beginning of year
|
7,474 | 8,852 | 16,326 | 7,085 | 8,995 | 16,080 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Claims during year:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Opened
|
681 | 2,146 | 2,827 | 335 | 944 | 1,279 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Settled
|
(84 | ) | (226 | ) | (310 | ) | (62 | ) | (119 | ) | (181 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Dismissed or otherwise resolved
|
(461 | ) | (2,121 | ) | (2,582 | ) | (119 | ) | (1,146 | ) | (1,265 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Claims at end of period
|
7,610 | 8,651 | 16,261 | 7,239 | 8,674 | 15,913 | |||||||||||||||||||
A.M. Best, an insurance rating agency, has developed a survival ratio to measure the number of years it would take a company to exhaust both its asbestos and environmental reserves for losses and loss expenses based on that companys current level of asbestos and environmental claims payments. This is a ratio derived by taking the current ending losses and loss expense reserves and dividing by the average annual payments for the prior three years. Therefore, the ratio derived is a simplistic measure of an estimate of the number of years it would be before the current ending losses and loss expense reserves would be paid off using recent average payments. The higher the ratio, the more years the reserves for losses and loss expenses cover these claims payments. These ratios are computed based on the ending reserves for losses and loss expenses over the respective claims settlement during the fiscal year. Such payments include indemnity payments and legal and loss adjustment payments. It should be noted, however, that this is an extremely simplistic approach to measuring asbestos and environmental reserve levels. Many factors, such as aggressive settlement procedures, mix of business and level of coverage provided, have a significant impact on the amount of asbestos and environmental losses and loss expense reserves, ultimate payments made and the resultant ratio.
AIG believes that voluntary payments with respect to environmental claims should be excluded from the calculation of the survival ratio for the environmental claims. That is, involuntary payments are primarily attributable to court judgments, court orders, covered claims with no coverage defenses, state mandated clean up costs, claims where AIGs coverage defenses are minimal and settlements that are made less than six months before the first trial setting. Payments other than these are deemed voluntary because AIG can control the amount and timing of such payments, if any.
33
AIGs survival ratios for asbestos and environmental claims, separately and combined, excluding voluntary environmental claim payments, were based upon a three year average payment. These ratios at September 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:
| Gross | Net | ||||||||
|
2004
|
|||||||||
|
Survival ratios:
|
|||||||||
|
Asbestos
|
4.9 | 4.6 | |||||||
|
Environmental
|
17.5 | 12.3 | |||||||
|
Combined
|
8.6 | 7.6 | |||||||
|
2003
|
|||||||||
|
Survival ratios:
|
|||||||||
|
Asbestos
|
4.4 | 4.4 | |||||||
|
Environmental
|
16.4 | 11.8 | |||||||
|
Combined
|
7.7 | 7.1 | |||||||
Life Insurance & Retirement Services Operations
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services subsidiaries offer a wide range of traditional insurance and financial and investment products both domestically and abroad. Traditional products consist of individual and group life, annuity, endowment and accident and health policies. Financial and investment products consist of fixed and variable annuities and pensions. (See also Note 2 of Notes to Financial Statements.)
Domestically, AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations offer a broad range of protection products, including life insurance, group life and health products and payout annuities which include single premium immediate annuities, structured settlements and terminal funding annuities. Home service operations include an array of traditional insurance and investment type products sold through agents. In addition, Home service includes a small block of run-off property and casualty coverage. Retirement services include group retirement products, individual fixed and variable annuity operations and annuity run-off operations which include fixed and variable annuities largely sold through merger related discontinued distribution relationships. AIGs principal domestic Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations include AIG American General Life Companies, AIG Annuity Insurance Company (AIG Annuity), The Variable Annuity Life Insurance Company (VALIC) and SunAmerica Life Insurance Company.
Overseas, AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations include traditional products such as whole and term life and endowments, personal accident & health products, group products including pension, life and health, and fixed and variable annuities. AIG operates overseas principally through American Life Insurance Company (ALICO), American International Assurance Company, Limited (AIA), American International Assurance Company, (Bermuda) Limited (AIA(B)), Nan Shan Life Insurance Company, Ltd. (Nan Shan), The Philippine American Life and General Insurance Company (Philam Life), and AIG Star Life Insurance Co., Ltd. (AIG Star Life). AIG added significantly to its presence in Japan with the acquisition of GE Edison Life Insurance Company (now known as AIG Edison Life Insurance Company) (AIG Edison Life), consolidated beginning with the fourth quarter of 2003. ALICO is incorporated in Delaware and all of its business is written outside of the United States. ALICO has operations either directly or through subsidiaries in Europe, Africa, Latin America, the Caribbean, the Middle East, South Asia, and the Far East, with Japan being the largest territory. AIA operates primarily in China (including Hong Kong), Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea and India. Nan Shan operates in Taiwan. AIG Star Life operates in Japan.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations presented on a major product basis for the nine months ending September 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 (a) | ||||||||
|
GAAP premiums:
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic Life:
|
||||||||||
|
Life insurance
|
$ | 1,407 | $ | 1,314 | ||||||
|
Home service
|
612 | 625 | ||||||||
|
Group life/health
|
858 | 765 | ||||||||
|
Payout annuities (b)
|
1,126 | 1,008 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
4,003 | 3,712 | ||||||||
|
Domestic Retirement Services:
|
||||||||||
|
Group retirement products
|
231 | 180 | ||||||||
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
43 | 35 | ||||||||
|
Individual variable annuities
|
300 | 240 | ||||||||
|
Individual
annuities-runoff (c)
|
59 | 61 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
633 | 516 | ||||||||
|
Total Domestic
|
4,636 | 4,228 | ||||||||
|
Foreign Life:
|
||||||||||
|
Life insurance
|
11,135 | 9,437 | ||||||||
|
Personal accident & health
|
3,171 | 2,186 | ||||||||
|
Group products (d)
|
1,832 | 945 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
16,138 | 12,568 | ||||||||
|
Foreign Retirement Services:
|
||||||||||
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
282 | 174 | ||||||||
|
Individual variable annuities
|
45 | 14 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
327 | 188 | ||||||||
|
Total Foreign
|
16,465 | 12,756 | ||||||||
|
Total GAAP premiums
|
$ | 21,101 | $ | 16,984 | ||||||
|
Net investment income:
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic Life:
|
||||||||||
|
Life insurance
|
$ | 1,094 | $ | 966 | ||||||
|
Home service
|
528 | 511 | ||||||||
|
Group life/health
|
92 | 87 | ||||||||
|
Payout annuities
|
600 | 511 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
2,314 | 2,075 | ||||||||
|
Domestic Retirement Services:
|
||||||||||
|
Group retirement products
|
1,617 | 1,522 | ||||||||
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
2,267 | 1,837 | ||||||||
|
Individual variable annuities
|
180 | 172 | ||||||||
|
Individual
annuities-runoff (c)
|
807 | 971 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
4,871 | 4,502 | ||||||||
|
Total Domestic
|
7,185 | 6,577 | ||||||||
34
| (in millions) | 2004 | 2003 (a) | ||||||||
|
Foreign Life:
|
||||||||||
|
Life insurance
|
3,248 | 2,779 | ||||||||
|
Personal accident & health
|
133 | 119 | ||||||||
|
Group products
|
311 | 249 | ||||||||
|
Intercompany adjustments
|
(13 | ) | (10 | ) | ||||||
|
Total
|
3,679 | 3,137 | ||||||||
|
Foreign Retirement Services:
|
||||||||||
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
700 | 231 | ||||||||
|
Individual variable annuities
|
78 | 1 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
778 | 232 | ||||||||
|
Total Foreign
|
4,457 | 3,369 | ||||||||
|
Total net investment income(e)
|
$ | 11,642 | $ | 9,946 | ||||||
|
Realized capital gains
(losses)(e)
|
(106 | ) | (657 | ) | ||||||
|
Total operating income(f)
|
$ | 6,302 | $ | 4,659 | ||||||
|
Life insurance
in-force (g):
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic
|
$ | 726,992 | $ | 645,606 | ||||||
|
Foreign
|
989,279 | 951,020 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 1,716,271 | $ | 1,596,626 | ||||||
| (a) | Restated to conform to 2004 presentation. |
| (b) | Includes structured settlements, single premium immediate annuities and terminal funding annuities. |
| (c) | Represents runoff annuity business sold through merger related discontinued distribution relationships. |
| (d) | 2004 includes approximately $640 million of premium from a reinsurance transaction involving terminal funding business. This single premium amount is offset by a similar increase of benefit reserves. |
| (e) | For purposes of this presentation, investment income reflects certain amounts of realized capital gains where the gains are deemed to be an inherent element in pricing certain life products in some foreign countries. |
| (f) | 2004 includes $5 million of catastrophe losses relating to minor Home service property and casualty subsidiaries currently in run-off. |
| (g) | Amounts presented were as at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003. |
Life Insurance & Retirement Services Results
The increase in Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the same period of 2003 was caused in part by strong growth, particularly overseas, and the decline in realized capital losses relative to the same period of 2003.
The contribution of Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income to AIGs consolidated income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change amounted to 49.9 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared to 47.3 percent in the same period of 2003.
Life GAAP premiums grew in the first nine months of 2004 when compared with the same period in 2003. AIGs domestic life operations had strong universal and term life sales and good performance from the independent distribution segment. Payout annuities also had strong growth. The domestic group business is below AIGs growth standards largely because several accounts where pricing was unacceptable were not renewed. AIG is reviewing growth strategies for this business. At American General Life and Accident Insurance Company (AGLA), the home services business, a number of the initiatives taken in recent months to accelerate growth, such as introducing new products, hiring new agents and retraining existing agents, will take some time before the results are evident. However, the business is solidly profitable with strong cash flow.
Domestic Retirement Services had a solid quarter. The businesses most correlated to the equity markets performed well, with the strongest sales growth in the individual variable annuity segment. VALIC, the group retirement services business, which has approximately half of client assets in equities, also benefited from improved equity market performance. VALIC has had a successful start cross-selling individual variable annuities, fixed annuities and mutual funds. AIG Annuity, the individual fixed annuity business, had very good performance with stable spreads and growth in operating income, even as consumers shifted assets to equity-based products.
With respect to Foreign Life, the majority of the growth in GAAP Life Insurance & Retirement Services premiums was attributable to the Life insurance, Personal accident & health, and Group products lines of business. This growth was most significant in Southeast Asia where AIG maintains significant market share established by its strong agency force, and in Japan, where AIG is benefiting from a flight to quality. Also in Japan, AIG Edison Life is being integrated successfully into AIGs life operations. AIG Star Life is growing first year premiums as a result of new product introductions and an expanded agency force, and is benefiting from more successful conservation of in-force business. The annuity business in Japan is growing rapidly through product innovation and packaging skills and the confidence engendered by the financial strength of AIG companies. In China, Life Insurance first year premiums are growing significantly. Additionally, personal accident sales reflect the repricing of certain key products to improve profit margins and is included in the Personal accident & health line of business. In addition, AIGs deep and diverse distribution, which includes bancassurance, worksite marketing, direct marketing and strong agency organizations, provides a powerful platform for growth. Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations produced 78.0 percent and 75.1 percent of GAAP Life Insurance & Retirement Services premiums in 2004 and 2003, respectively.
As previously discussed, the U.S. dollar weakened in relation to most major foreign currencies in which AIG transacts business. Accordingly, for the first nine months of 2004, when foreign life GAAP premiums were translated into U.S. dollars for purposes of the preparation of the consolidated financial statements, total life GAAP premiums were approximately 4.5 percentage points more than they would have been if translated utilizing exchange rates prevailing in 2003.
35
Under U.S. GAAP, deposits and certain other considerations received under deferred annuity (variable and fixed) and universal life contracts are not included as GAAP premiums. If such amounts were to be included, the overall year to date growth from 2004 over 2003 would be more dramatic, due in part to large increases in foreign individual fixed annuities.
The growth in net investment income in the first nine months of 2004 when compared to the same period of 2003 was attributable to both foreign and domestic invested new cash flow for investment. Additionally, net investment income was positively impacted by the compounding of previously earned and reinvested net investment income. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
Life Insurance & Retirement Services investment portfolios are managed within the overall objectives of the Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations. The decline in the realized capital losses in the first nine months of 2004 reflect an improved economy, stronger corporate balance sheets and a significantly lower level of impairments. The realized capital losses in the first nine months of 2003 reflect impairment loss provisions for certain equity and fixed income holdings. (See also the discussion on Valuation of Invested Assets herein.)
Underwriting and Investment Risk
The risks associated with the traditional life and accident and health products are underwriting risk and investment risk. The risk associated with the financial and investment contract products is primarily investment risk.
Underwriting risk represents the exposure to loss resulting from the actual policy experience adversely emerging in comparison to the assumptions made in the product pricing associated with mortality, morbidity, termination and expenses. The emergence of significant adverse experience would require an adjustment to the benefit reserves that could have a substantial impact with respect to AIGs results of operations.
AIGs foreign life companies limit their maximum underwriting exposure on traditional life insurance of a single life to approximately $1.5 million of coverage and AIGs domestic life companies generally limit their maximum underwriting exposure on traditional life insurance of a single life to $2.5 million of coverage by using yearly renewable term reinsurance. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
The investment risk represents the exposure to loss resulting from the cash flows from the invested assets, primarily long-term fixed rate investments, being less than the cash flows required to meet the obligations of the expected policy and contract liabilities and the necessary return on investments. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
To minimize its exposure to investment risk, AIG tests the cash flows from the invested assets and the policy and contract liabilities using various interest rate scenarios to assess whether there is a liquidity excess or deficit. If a rebalancing of the invested assets to the policy and contract claims became necessary and did not occur, a demand could be placed upon liquidity. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
The asset-liability relationship is appropriately managed in AIGs foreign operations, as it has been throughout AIGs history, even though certain territories lack qualified long-term investments or there are investment restrictions imposed by the local regulatory authorities. For example, in Japan and several Southeast Asia territories, the duration of the investments is often for a shorter period than the effective maturity of the related policy liabilities. Therefore, there is a risk that the reinvestment of the proceeds at the maturity of the initial investments may be at a yield below that of the interest required for the accretion of the policy liabilities. Additionally, there exists a future investment risk associated with certain policies currently in force which will have premium receipts in the future. That is, the investment of these future premium receipts may be at a yield below that required to meet future policy liabilities.
To maintain an adequate yield to match the interest necessary to support future policy liabilities, constant management focus is required to reinvest the proceeds of the maturing securities and to invest the future premium receipts while continuing to maintain satisfactory investment quality.
To the extent permitted under local regulation, AIG may invest in qualified longer-term securities outside Japan to achieve a closer matching in both duration and the required yield. AIG is able to manage any asset-liability duration difference through maintenance of sufficient global liquidity and to support any operational shortfall through its international financial network. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
Certain foreign jurisdictions have limited long-dated bond markets and AIG may use alternative investments, including equities and foreign denominated fixed income instruments to extend the effective duration of the investment portfolio to more closely match that of the policyholder liabilities.
The asset-liability relationship is appropriately managed in AIGs domestic operations, as there is ample supply of qualified long-term investments.
AIG uses asset-liability matching as a management tool worldwide to determine the composition of the invested assets and appropriate marketing strategies. As a part of these strategies, AIG may determine that it is economically advantageous to be temporarily in an unmatched position due to anticipated interest rate or other economic changes.
36
A number of guaranteed benefits are offered on certain variable life products. (For further discussion see Note 7 of Notes to Financial Statements.)
DAC for life insurance products arises from the deferral of those costs that vary with, and are directly related to, the acquisition of new or renewal business. Policy acquisition costs for traditional life insurance products are generally deferred and amortized over the premium paying period of the policy. Policy acquisition costs which relate to universal life and investment-type products, including fixed annuities, (nontraditional life products) are deferred and amortized, with interest, as appropriate, in relation to the historical and future incidence of estimated gross profits to be realized over the estimated lives of the contracts. With respect to variable annuities, AIGs policy, as appropriate, has been to adjust amortization assumptions for DAC when estimates of current or future gross profits to be realized from these contracts are revised. With respect to variable annuities sold domestically (representing the vast majority of AIGs variable annuity business), the assumption for the long-term annual net growth rate of the equity markets used in the determination of DAC amortization is approximately 10 percent. A methodology referred to as reversion to the mean is used to maintain this long-term net growth rate assumption, while giving consideration to short-term variations in equity markets. Estimated gross profits include investment income and gains and losses on investments less interest required as well as other charges in the contract less actual mortality and expenses. Current experience and changes in the expected future gross profits are analyzed to determine the impact on the amortization of DAC. The estimation of projected gross profits requires significant management judgment. The elements with respect to the current and projected gross profits are reviewed and analyzed quarterly and are appropriately adjusted.
AIGs variable annuity earnings will be affected by changes in market returns because separate account revenues, primarily composed of mortality and expense charges and asset management fees, are a function of asset values.
DAC for both traditional life and nontraditional life products as well as retirement services products are subject to review for recoverability, which involve estimating the future profitability of current business. This review also involves significant management judgment. If the actual emergence of future profitability were to be substantially different than that estimated, AIGs results of operations could be significantly impacted.
Insurance and Asset Management Invested Assets
AIGs general strategy is to invest in high quality securities while maintaining diversification to avoid significant exposure to issuer, industry and/or country concentrations. With respect to General Insurance, AIGs strategy is to invest in longer duration fixed maturities to maximize the yields at the date of purchase. With respect to Life Insurance & Retirement Services, AIGs strategy is to produce cash flows required to meet maturing insurance liabilities. (See also the discussion under Operating Review: Life Insurance & Retirement Services Operations herein.) AIG invests in equities for various reasons, including diversifying its overall exposure to interest rate risk. Equity securities are subject to declines in fair value. Such declines in fair value are presented in unrealized appreciation or depreciation of investments, net of taxes as a component of other comprehensive income. Generally, insurance regulations restrict the types of assets in which an insurance company may invest. When permitted by regulatory authorities and when deemed necessary to protect insurance assets, including invested assets, from adverse movements in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and equity prices, AIG and its insurance subsidiaries may enter into derivative transactions as end users. (See also the discussion under Derivatives herein.)
In certain jurisdictions, significant regulatory and/or foreign governmental barriers exist which may not permit the immediate free flow of funds between insurance subsidiaries or from the insurance subsidiaries to AIG parent. These barriers generally cause only minor delays in the outward remittance of the funds.
37
The following tables summarize the composition of AIGs insurance and asset management invested assets by segment, at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003:
| Life | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Insurance & | Percent Distribution | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| September 30, 2004 | General | Retirement | Asset | Percent | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | Insurance | Services | Management | Total | of Total | Domestic | Foreign | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Fixed Maturities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Available for sale, at market
value(a)
|
$ | 42,600 | $ | 243,190 | $ | 46,013 | $ | 331,803 | 69.0 | % | 62.2 | % | 37.8% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Held to maturity, at amortized cost
|
15,415 | | | 15,415 | 3.2 | 100.0 | | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Equity securities, at market
value(b)
|
5,346 | 10,495 | 119 | 15,960 | 3.3 | 31.6 | 68.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Mortgage loans on real estate, policy and
collateral loans
|
23 | 16,170 | 5,156 | 21,349 | 4.5 | 69.4 | 30.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Short-term investments, including time
deposits, and cash
|
2,106 | 11,662 | 2,239 | 16,007 | 3.3 | 40.7 | 59.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Real estate
|
557 | 2,851 | 324 | 3,732 | 0.8 | 28.9 | 71.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Investment income due and accrued
|
1,006 | 4,317 | 508 | 5,831 | 1.2 | 60.2 | 39.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Securities lending collateral
|
4,819 | 37,478 | 11,506 | 53,803 | 11.2 | 86.9 | 13.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Other invested assets
|
6,670 | 5,702 | 4,549 | 16,921 | 3.5 | 84.9 | 15.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 78,542 | $ | 331,865 | $ | 70,414 | $ | 480,821 | 100.0 | % | 65.3 | % | 34.7% | ||||||||||||||||
| (a) | Includes $2.40 billion of bond trading securities, at market value. |
| (b) | Includes $1.91 billion of preferred stocks, at market value. |
| Life | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Insurance & | Percent Distribution | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| December 31, 2003 | General | Retirement | Asset | Percent | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | Insurance | Services | Management | Total | of Total | Domestic | Foreign | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Fixed Maturities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Available for sale, at market
value(a)
|
$ | 41,610 | $ | 225,686 | $ | 32,453 | $ | 299,749 | 75.2 | % | 64.1 | % | 35.9% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Held to maturity, at amortized cost
|
8,037 | | | 8,037 | 2.0 | 100.0 | | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Equity securities, at market
value(b)
|
5,130 | 4,174 | 60 | 9,364 | 2.4 | 53.7 | 46.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Mortgage loans on real estate, policy and
collateral loans
|
25 | 15,513 | 5,228 | 20,766 | 5.2 | 68.4 | 31.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Short-term investments, including time deposits,
and cash
|
1,918 | 4,662 | 2,343 | 8,923 | 2.2 | 53.1 | 46.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Real estate
|
569 | 2,903 | 302 | 3,774 | 0.9 | 28.9 | 71.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Investment income due and accrued
|
881 | 3,597 | 420 | 4,898 | 1.2 | 62.9 | 37.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Securities lending collateral
|
5,225 | 20,537 | 4,433 | 30,195 | 7.6 | 76.0 | 24.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Other invested assets
|
5,121 | 4,404 | 3,415 | 12,940 | 3.3 | 85.3 | 14.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 68,516 | $ | 281,476 | $ | 48,654 | $ | 398,646 | 100.0 | % | 65.8 | % | 34.2% | ||||||||||||||||
| (a) | Includes $282 million of bond trading securities, at market value. |
| (b) | Includes $1.90 billion of preferred stocks, at market value. |
Credit Quality
At September 30, 2004, approximately 64 percent of the fixed maturities investments were domestic securities. Approximately 32 percent of such domestic securities were rated AAA by one or more of the principal rating agencies. Approximately 7 percent were below investment grade or not rated.
A significant portion of the foreign fixed income portfolio is rated by Moodys, Standard & Poors (S&P) or similar foreign services. Similar credit quality rating services are not available in all overseas locations. AIG annually reviews the credit quality of the foreign portfolio nonrated fixed income investments, including mortgages. At September 30, 2004, approximately 20 percent of the foreign fixed income investments were either rated AAA or, on the basis of AIGs internal analysis, were equivalent from a credit standpoint to securities so rated. Approximately 5 percent were below investment grade or not rated at that date. A large portion of the foreign fixed income portfolio are sovereign fixed maturity securities supporting the policy liabilities in the country of issuance.
Any fixed income security may be subject to downgrade for a variety of reasons subsequent to any balance sheet date.
Valuation of Invested Assets
The valuation of invested assets involves obtaining a market value for each security. The source for the market value is generally from market exchanges or dealer quotations, with the exception of nontraded securities.
Another aspect of valuation is an assessment of impairment. As a matter of policy, the determination that a security has incurred an other-than-temporary decline in value and
38
the amount of any loss recognition requires the judgment of AIGs management and a continual review of its investments.
In general, a security is considered a candidate for impairment if it meets any of the following criteria:
| | Trading at a significant discount to par, amortized cost (if lower) or cost for an extended period of time; |
| | The occurrence of a discrete credit event resulting in (i) the issuer defaulting on a material outstanding obligation; or (ii) the issuer seeking protection from creditors under the bankruptcy laws or any similar laws intended for the court supervised reorganization of insolvent enterprises; or (iii) the issuer proposing a voluntary reorganization pursuant to which creditors are asked to exchange their claims for cash or securities having a fair value substantially lower than par value of their claims; or |
| | In the opinion of AIGs management, it is possible that AIG may not realize a full recovery on its investment, irrespective of the occurrence of one of the foregoing events. |
Once a security has been identified as impaired, the amount of such impairment is determined by reference to that securitys contemporaneous market price.
AIG has the ability to hold any security to its stated maturity. Therefore, the decision to sell reflects the judgment of AIGs management that the security sold is unlikely to provide, on a relative value basis, as attractive a return in the future as alternative securities entailing comparable risks. With respect to distressed securities, the sale decision reflects managements judgment that the risk-discounted anticipated ultimate recovery is less than the value achievable on sale.
As a result of these policies, AIG recorded impairment losses, net of taxes, of $361 million and $798 million in the first nine months of 2004 and 2003, respectively. The recovery in global equity markets and reasonably steady domestic interest rates were the primary reasons for the decline in impairment loss recognition from 2003 to 2004.
No impairment charge with respect to any one single credit was significant to AIGs consolidated financial condition or results of operations, and no individual impairment loss exceeded 1.0 percent of consolidated net income for the first nine months of 2004.
Excluding the impairments noted above, the changes in market value for AIGs available for sale portfolio, which constitutes the vast majority of AIGs investments, were recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income as unrealized gains or losses.
At September 30, 2004, the aggregate unrealized losses after taxes of the fixed maturity securities were approximately $1.4 billion. At September 30, 2004, the aggregate unrealized losses after taxes of the equity securities portfolio were approximately $168 million.
At September 30, 2004, aggregate unrealized gains after taxes were $10.8 billion and aggregate unrealized losses after taxes were $1.5 billion. At September 30, 2004, the fair value of AIGs fixed maturities and equity securities aggregated to $365.1 billion.
The impact on net income of unrealized losses after taxes will be further mitigated upon realization, because certain realized losses will be charged to participating policyholder accounts, and realization will result in current decreases in the amortization of certain deferred acquisition costs.
At September 30, 2004, unrealized losses for fixed maturity securities and equity securities did not reflect any significant industry concentrations.
The amortized cost of fixed maturities available for sale in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2004, by contractual maturity, is shown below:
| Amortized | ||||
| (in millions) | Cost | |||
|
Due in one year or less
|
$ | 2,045 | ||
|
Due after one year through five years
|
12,272 | |||
|
Due after five years through ten years
|
21,315 | |||
|
Due after ten years
|
31,737 | |||
|
Total
|
$ | 67,369 | ||
In the nine months ended September 30, 2004, the pretax realized losses incurred with respect to the sale of fixed maturities and equity securities were $1.2 billion. The aggregate fair value of securities sold was $28.6 billion, which was approximately 98 percent of amortized cost. The average period of time that securities sold at a loss during the nine months ended September 30, 2004 were trading continuously at a price below book value was approximately four months.
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At September 30, 2004, aggregate pretax unrealized gains were $16.6 billion, while the pretax unrealized losses with respect to investment grade bonds, below investment grade bonds and equity securities were $1.61 billion, $500 million and $258 million, respectively. Aging of the pretax unrealized losses with respect to these securities, distributed as a percentage of cost relative to unrealized loss (the extent by which the market value is less than amortized cost or cost), including the number of respective items, was as follows:
| Less than or equal to | Greater than 20% to | Greater than | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20% of Cost(a) | 50% of Cost(a) | 50% of Cost(a) | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Aging | Unrealized | Unrealized | Unrealized | Unrealized | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | Cost(a) | Loss | Items | Cost(a) | Loss | Items | Cost(a) | Loss | Items | Cost(a) | Loss(b) | Items | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Investment grade bonds
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
0-6 months
|
$ | 43,891 | $ | 737 | 2,771 | $ | 32 | $ | 10 | 15 | $ | | $ | | | $ | 43,923 | $ | 747 | 2,786 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
7-12 months
|
6,999 | 233 | 579 | 69 | 15 | 20 | | | | 7,068 | 248 | 599 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
>12 months
|
10,395 | 526 | 787 | 340 | 85 | 12 | | | | 10,735 | 611 | 799 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 61,285 | $ | 1,496 | 4,137 | $ | 441 | $ | 110 | 47 | $ | | $ | | | $ | 61,726 | $ | 1,606 | 4,184 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Below investment grade bonds
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
0-6 months
|
$ | 3,081 | $ | 97 | 425 | $ | 55 | $ | 14 | 28 | $ | 36 | $ | 21 | 20 | $ | 3,172 | $ | 132 | 473 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
7-12 months
|
830 | 71 | 128 | 92 | 26 | 51 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 935 | 107 | 190 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
>12 months
|
974 | 85 | 115 | 531 | 159 | 99 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 1,536 | 261 | 228 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 4,885 | $ | 253 | 668 | $ | 678 | $ | 199 | 178 | $ | 80 | $ | 48 | 45 | $ | 5,643 | $ | 500 | 891 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total bonds
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
0-6 months
|
$ | 46,972 | $ | 834 | 3,196 | $ | 87 | $ | 24 | 43 | $ | 36 | $ | 21 | 20 | $ | 47,095 | $ | 879 | 3,259 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
7-12 months
|
7,829 | 304 | 707 | 161 | 41 | 71 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 8,003 | 355 | 789 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
>12 months
|
11,369 | 611 | 902 | 871 | 244 | 111 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 12,271 | 872 | 1,027 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 66,170 | $ | 1,749 | 4,805 | $ | 1,119 | $ | 309 | 225 | $ | 80 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||