Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: LeapFrog, Monogram Biosciences, Pfizer, PeopleSupport and Vonage
Posted on October 16, 2007 at 06:00 AM EDT

Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: LeapFrog (NYSE:LF), Monogram Biosciences (Nasdaq:MGRM), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), PeopleSupport (Nasdaq:PSPT) and Vonage (NYSE:VG).

See the latest posts to the Analyst Blog by visiting: http://at.zacks.com/?id=2673.

Here are highlights from Mondays Analyst Blog:

LeapFrog Jumps from Sell to Hold

LeapFrog (NYSE:LF) management's actions to improve long-term operating results through increased R&D and incremental marketing spending in 2007 are leading to another year of negative earnings. In the most recent quarter, revenues declined in all three business segments due to softening demand and restructuring activities.

However, the operating margin is beginning to improve as the positive effects of the restructuring become evident. While LeapFrog is an industry-leader in terms of innovation and educational content, significant operational issues are plaguing the company. The significant decline in the LeapPad family of products and increased promotional activities are causing the company to post losses and the company is not expected to post positive earnings until 2009.

Given the lack of earnings progress, price-to-book valuation is appropriate. The company could make an interesting acquisition candidate between 1.0x and 1.5 times book value, which should tend to support the share price. With the reorganization of the SchoolHouse segment and the improvement of the gross margin, the stock could trade up to 2.0 times book value or $9.00 per share.

Monogram Gets Labeled as a Hold

Monogram Biosciences (Nasdaq:MGRM) is a life sciences company, engaged in the development and commercialization of molecular diagnostic products focusing on infectious diseases, cancer and other diseases. We are optimistic about its HIV test products and the potential of its VeraTag Assay for cancer test.

The company stands to benefit meaningfully from the launch of Pfizers (NYSE:PFE) Maraviroc in both the U.S. and European markets. However, we would like to see how Monogram manages its top and bottom line growth in the coming years before we recommend the shares.

We maintain our HOLD rating on Monogram Biosciences shares with a target price of $1.90. We believe the companys shares are fairly valued at the current level. We arrive at our target price by using a P/S multiple of 5.8x, at a discount to the diagnostic industry average P/S multiple of 7x, multiplied by our estimated 2007 product sales of $42.9 million, which corresponds to a market capitalization of $250.6 million.

Bounceback Expected for PSPT

PeopleSupport (Nasdaq:PSPT) is well positioned to benefit from the fast-growing offshore BPO market. The companys long-term prospects are still promising despite the loss of the Vonage (NYSE:VG) contract and the stock appears to be attractively valued at current levels. Hence, the stock is rated a Buy. Though PeopleSupport has only a two-year trading history, the stock has traded in a wide P/E range of 11 to 33.

PSPT is currently trading at a P/E of 17.5, due to the negative earnings surprise reported in the fourth quarter of 2006, which led to a dramatic decline in the stock price, and eventually to the loss of the Vonage contract. However, the companys high sales growth profile and exposure to the attractive high-growth BPO market should be very attractive to investors.

In the short-term, the operating margin will remain constrained due to increasing rents in Philippines and higher costs associated with the companys production capacity expansion plans. The company is, however, poised to grow over the long term from increased production capacity and economies of scale. The target price is $13.75, which is 22 times our 2007 (depressed) earnings estimate.

See the latest posts to the Analyst Blog by visiting http://at.zacks.com/?id=2645.

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