For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – November 25, 2009 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Bank of America (BAC), MGIC (MTG), Fannie Mae (FNM), Freddie Mac (FRE) and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ).
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Here are highlights from Tuesday’s Analyst Blog:
Home Prices Continue to Rise
It is encouraging to see home prices rise. If this continues, some of the people in underwater houses (meaning with a mortgage more than the value of the house) might just see the flood recede and regain some positive equity in the house. This would greatly reduce the number of foreclosures in the future. It would make it an economically rational thing for people to pay their mortgages again. As it stands today in big areas of the country, it isn’t.
As a result, mortgage delinquencies have been skyrocketing, and eventually those delinquencies will lead to foreclosures. That could reignite a vicious circle, where the foreclosed houses flood the market, once again depressing prices, which causes more people to think there are better places to put their money than paying their mortgages.
Rising home prices have the potential to turn that into a virtuous cycle. To the extent that happens, it has very positive implications for the entire mortgage complex, from the big banks like Bank of America (BAC) to the mortgage insurance firms like MGIC (MTG) to the wards of the state, Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE).
However, I fear that the increase in home prices is only temporary. That it is the product of extraordinary government efforts to prop up home prices, and that those efforts can not be sustained forever. These include the tax credit (recently expanded to include move up buyers), which is scheduled to end at the end of April, and the Fed’s program of buying up $1.25 Trillion in mortgage-backed paper to manipulate mortgage rates lower. They should finish up their purchases by the end of March.
HP Revenue Down, EPS In-Line
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) reported fourth quarter EPS of $1.14, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny.
Revenue for the quarter came in at $30.8 billion, a decrease of 8.0% from the $33.6 billion reported in the year-ago period and down 5.0% on constant currency basis.
Revenue fell across all businesses, including servers and data storage systems, software, PCs and printers. The Americas reported a 3.0% decline in revenue to $13.6 billion. Revenue declined 17.0% in Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA) to $11.7 billion and 1.0% in the Asia Pacific to $5.4 billion. Revenue from China increased more than 20% from the year-ago quarter.
International markets accounted for 64% of total revenue in the fourth quarter, with revenue in the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) declining 4.0% on a year-over-year basis and accounting for 10.0% of total HP revenue.
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